# 1554
This morning, a report from Reuters hinted at the suspected bird flu death of a 23 year-old woman in Jakarta yesterday. The Health Ministry is now confirming that fact. This makes 2 deaths announced within hours of each other, and we still have 2 more people who have tested positive and are hospitalized.
A very sad beginning to the week.
Indonesia bird flu death toll hits 100
JAKARTA (Reuters) - A 23-year-old Indonesian woman from East Jakarta has died from bird flu, taking the country's death toll to 100, according to a report from Indonesia's bird flu information centre on Monday.
The woman died on Sunday and two separate laboratory tests confirmed she contracted H5N1, the report said.
Earlier on Monday, a 9-year-old Indonesian boy who had tested positive for bird flu died, the health ministry said in a statement.
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A 31-year-old woman and 32-year-old man hospitalized at Persahabatan hospital for fever and respiratory problems also tested positive for the deadly H5N1 virus on Monday, the ministry said.
<snip>
Suyono said there are no obvious explanations for the sudden surge of cases. "We need to carry more tests and investigation first to be really sure."
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3 comments:
Dear Fla-Medic:
Are we at a tipping point? Looking like it to me.
Brenda Gundry
Brenda,
I'm not convinced we are at a tipping point yet, although I concede we probably won't know immediately if the virus acquires H2H capability. I expect a delay of days, or a week or so, after it starts before it becomes apparent.
What I'm looking for are sustained clusters somewhere in the world, of 10, 20, or more people each. Families, neighborhoods, schools, etc.
At that point, I'll believe we've seen a change in the virus and that we are on the brink.
Each of us has our own `trigger point'. Admittedly, mine may not the same as others.
Doesn't make mine right, either ;).
Spread of avian flu by drinking water
Transmission of avian flu by direct contact to infected poultry is an unproved assumption from the WHO. Infected poultry can everywhere contaminate the drinking water. All humans have contact to drinking water. Special in cases of local water supplies with young and fresh H5N1 contaminated water from low local wells, cisterns, tanks or rain barrels this pathway can explain small clusters in households. At 24°C the virulence of influenza viruses amount to 2 days. At 7°C the virulence of influenza viruses amount to 14 days.
Dipl.-Ing. Wilfried Soddemann
soddemann-aachen@t-online.de
http://www.cdc.gov/ncidod/EID/vol12no12/06-0829.htm
http://www.who.int/water_sanitation_health/emerging/h5n1background.pdf
http://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473309907700294/abstract?iseop=true
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