Over the past decade the pattern with H5N1 outbreaks in wild birds, poultry, and people has been that the summer and early fall tend to be pretty quiet, with activity picking up as winter approaches, and continuing into late spring.
Essentially, from now until May, we can expect to see scattered reports of H5N1 outbreaks in poultry and migratory birds across parts of Europe, Asia, and the Indian Subcontinent.
Which brings us to a new report out of Bangalore, India today indicating that more than 3,000 turkeys have been infected with the virus.
Published: Friday, Oct 26, 2012, 19:27 IST
Place: Bangalore | Agency: PTI
About 3,600 Turkeys have died of avian influenza (H5N1) at the Central Poultry Development Organisation at Hesaragatta on the city outskirts, a government official said here today.
"The remaining 700 Turkeys have been culled",Secretary in the Department of Animal Husbandry,Arvind Jannu,told PTI here.
CPDO has been quarantined,he said. Confirmation that these birds died following the influenza came from Bhopal-based high security animal disease laboratory two days ago.
H5N1 remains largely an avian-adapted virus, and for now primarily a threat to poultry.
The concern, of course, is that with continual changes to the virus, one of these days it may better adapt to human or mammalian physiology.
Which is why, even after 10 years of outbreaks and no pandemic, we continue to follow developments with keen interest.