Map Credit ECDC
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Jiangsu Province has reported 3 new cases of H7N9 infection this morning, and Zhejiang has reported 5, making at total of 71 (plus 1 asymptomatic PRC positive case in Beijing), and 14 fatalities.
First the latest case details, then I’ll return with a little more about counting cases.
Totals via Xinhua News.
National confirmed 71 cases of human infection of H7N9 avian influenza in 14 deaths
Ended at 6:00 p.m. on the 16th, the country reported a total of 66 cases of human infection of H7N9 avian influenza confirmed cases, 14 deaths. Among them, two cases in Henan , Beijing , Shanghai 24 cases (9 deaths) , Jiangsu 20 cases (2 cases of death) , Zhejiang, 21 cases (2 deaths) , Anhui 3 cases (1 death) .
This from the Zhejiang DOH.
Additional five cases of human infection with the H7N9 avian flu cases in Zhejiang province
Zhejiang Provincial Health Department
April 16, 2013
Zhejiang Provincial Health Department informed that, as of April 16, 2011 16:00 April 16, Zhejiang new cases of human infection with H7N9 avian influenza.
Patients Humou, male, 56 years old, engaged in meat pigeon breeding, sale, who lives in Hangzhou, incidence on April 12, now a hospital treatment.
The patients Qianmou, male, 57 years old, unemployed, who lives in Hangzhou, the onset on April 10, now a hospital treatment.
Patients Sohn, female, 58-year-old farmer, who lives in Hangzhou, the incidence on April 11, now a hospital treatment.
Patients with Kim, female, 72 years old, retired, who lives in Hangzhou, the incidence on April 10, now a hospital treatment.
Patients Yemou, male, 62 years old, retired, who lives in Hangzhou, the onset on April 10, now a hospital treatment.
Testing by the provincial CDC, more than 5 patients specimens are people infected with the H7N9 avian influenza virus nucleic acid positive. I Office Organization expert on the clinical manifestations, epidemiological data and laboratory test results to discuss the diagnosis of human infection confirmed cases of the H7N9 avian flu. Currently, five patients were seriously ill, hospitals are active treatment.
And this report from the Jiangsu DOH.
Published :2013-4-16
Health Department of Jiangsu Province, April 16 Bulletin, Jiangsu newly confirmed three cases of human infection with the H7N9 avian influenza.
Fumou, male, 56 years old, now living in Nanjing Qinhuai District. On April 16, the provincial expert group diagnosed cases of human infection of H7N9 avian influenza confirmed cases. A hospital in Nanjing, where serious condition. After investigation, the close contacts of the cases of a total of seven people, far showed no abnormality.
Humou, female, 21 years old, now living in Kunshan City. On April 16, the provincial expert group diagnosed cases of human infection of H7N9 avian influenza confirmed cases. Kunshan City in a hospital where he is currently in serious condition. After investigation, the close contacts of the case has a total of 12 people, far showed no abnormality.
Zhu, male, 72 years old, and now live in Suzhou Suzhou area. On April 16, the provincial expert group diagnosed cases of human infection of H7N9 avian influenza confirmed cases. Where critical condition in a hospital in Suzhou. After investigation, the close contacts of the cases of a total of six people, far showed no abnormality.
Regarding case counts, while a great deal of emphasis is placed on them – particularly by the media - the reality is we have no idea how accurate of a representation these numbers really are.
There may be a lot of mild, or even asymptomatic cases, not being picked up by surveillance. Or not.
We simply don’t know. And until serological testing can be done, we probably can’t know.
Their real value lies more in determining trends, and as pieces to the epidemiological jigsaw puzzle that this emerging virus presents.
The more pieces we have to look at, the better overall picture of the disease that will emerge. But its a time consuming, and exacting process, and answers – thus far – remain elusive.
