Tuesday, September 29, 2015

Saudi MOH: Third Day Without A MERS Case


# 10,576


For the first time in nearly 2 months, Saudi Arabia has strung together three consecutive days without reporting a new MERS case.   They do, however, report one fatality.


While we’ve been trying to divine some seasonal pattern to MERS outbreaks, as the MOH chart below illustrates, the past two years have yielded decidedly different results.


  • In 2014 (green line), we saw a big outbreak in late spring, followed by a quiet summer and then a slow ramping up of cases in the fall.
  • This year (yellow line), there was a noticeable rise during the winter months (Jan-Feb), followed by a fairly flat spring and early summer, only to see an unexpected late summer surge. 

Which means that where MERS goes from here is pretty much anyone’s guess.

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