Monday, February 08, 2021

CDC Updated COVID Variant Map (Feb 7th)


Mutation of SARS-CoV2 - current variants of concern  - ECDC    

#15,791

The CDC updated their COVID Variant interactive map overnight, and made a helpful format change as well, allowing users to now filter results by variant type. You can, however, only look at the results for one variant at a time. 

While limited testing ensures these numbers are substantial undercounts, the steady increase in detections tells us the B.1.1.7 variant - in particularly - is alive and thriving in the United States. 

As noted on Tuesday, while some states (like Washington & Oregon) are aggressive testing for variants, others are only checking fewer than 1 in 1,000 positive cases.

Although the recent reduction in COVID cases and hospitalizations in the United States and around the globe is a hopeful sign, the impact of these new, more transmisible variants is just beginning to be felt, and a spring resurgence is still a strong possibility. 

Modelers at the CDC estimate the B.1.1.7 variant could become dominant in the United States by March (see MMWR: Emergence Of SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 Lineage — United States, Dec 29, 2020–Jan 12, 2021). 

So, take these latest numbers (699 cases across 34 states) with a very large grain of salt.