Saturday, February 15, 2014

Dr. Mackay On H7N9 Market Closures & Case Reporting Out Of China

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# 8301

 

Over night Dr. Ian Mackay on his VDU blog has been busy, posting a pair of blogs on the (apparent) effects of market closures in China on the spread of H7N9, and other possible reasons behind the recent drop in case reports. 

 

In the second blog listed, he articulates some of the concerns that many flu watchers have over the recent decline in reporting out of China.


Follow the links to read:

 

Zhejiang province leads the way in H7N9 cases and their decline 3-weeks after market closures...

Click on image to enlarge.

It's the Province in China that has seen more H7N9 cases confirmed in human than any other Province (39% of all cases have originated here).

It reached 50 cases faster in 2014 than 2013.

It closed its markets back in 24-Jan. And for a little while it kept finding new cases.

But the past 2-days have see no new cases announced from Zhejiang province. Eerily reminiscent of 2013 sudden disappearance of cases announcements.

(Continue . . .)

 

 

H7N9 case announcements dropping: is Wave 2 under control? [UPDATED]

Its a very tough question to answer. There has been public pressure by China's poultry-farming groups on China to take measures to stem the industry's financial losses. These have been driven by the public concern that H7N9 can seriously afflict people and in about a fifth of recorded instances, kill them.

(Continue . . .)