Thursday, February 06, 2014

Referral: VDU Blog On H7N9 Trends 2014 vs 2013

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Credit VDU Blog - H7N9 snapdate: rolling average cases per day...

 

# 8272

 

In addition to his updated H7N9 snapdate: hotspot map which I featured atop my last blog entry, Dr. Ian Mackay has been busy producing two additional H7N9-related charts, and some discussion over the past 12 hours.

 

Go for the graphics, but stay for the analysis.  Follow the links to read:

 

 

H7N9 update on some trends: 2013 vs 2014

As I'd previously predicted (it was a very safe bet) and as CIDRAP's excellent coverage confirmed, H7N9 Wave 2's peak month surpassed Wave 1's in total number of cases. Quite a few more cases in Jan-204 than Apr-2013.

The total case number alone is no reason to run around like a headless chicken of course; it is what it is. It surprises me that there haven't been more cases given the live animal market culture, the number of people in the affected regions (see below for a rough population tally) and the number of times those two things intersect.

(Continue . . . )

 

H7N9 snapdate: rolling average cases per day...

Click on image to enlarge.
Seriously.

This is really just an update from earlier today. My brain finally sorted out a niggling problem with the earlier version.
The chart needed to show 2013's peak season (now added to the previous version as"Rolling daily Av. Peak 2013" and shown above in green) minus the small number of cases preceding it, as I did for 2014.

(Continue . . . )