Tuesday, April 07, 2020

Italy Reports 3,039 New COVID-19 Cases & 605 Deaths















#15,179

Roughly 4 weeks ago - when Italy had just over 9,000 COVID-19 cases and just over 463 deaths, their government announced an aggressive nationwide lockdown to curb the spread of the disease.  At the time, case counts were increasing by nearly 1,000 a day.
Over the past 30 days the number of cases has risen 15-fold, and the number of deaths 36-fold, but the peak in new cases appeared about two weeks ago, and since then we've seen a significant reduction in the rate of new cases. 
For the past 7 days, Italy has reported an average of just over 4,000 new cases a day.  Today, they've posted the lowest number we've seen in more than 3 weeks; 3,039 cases.  Hopefully this a further indication that the strict social distancing that has been ordered since March 10th is working.
Deaths are always a lagging indicator, and while they are off their highs of two weeks ago, haven't yet shown the dramatic drop that new cases have.   
Assuming this trend continues, the next big challenge for Italy will be figuring out how to exit their locked down status without re-igniting community transmission.  This is a dilemma that all nations will eventually face, but Italy appears to be on track to be the first  major Western Nation to test these uncharted waters.


Press conference at 6 pm on April 7th
 135.586 total cases, currently positive people are 94.067, 17.127 died and 24.392 recovered.
Among the 94,067 positives (+ 880 compared to yesterday):
  • 61,557 are in home isolation (+ 1,244 compared to yesterday)
  • 28,718 hospitalized with symptoms ( - 258 compared to yesterday)
  • 3,792 in intensive care (- 106 compared to yesterday)

755,445 swabs were made.
Read the tables