#15,581
Although the emergence of SARS-COV-2 from bats in China may have seemed as if it came out of left field, the truth is, a pandemic caused by bat-borne coronaviruses has been a topic of concern since 2003, after the SARS virus sparked an international epidemic.
When Steven Soderbergh made his pandemic thriller `Contagion’ in 2011, technical advisor Professor Ian Lipkin created fictional MEV-1 virus based on a mutated Nipah virus (see The Scientific Plausibility of `Contagion’) simply because of the potential of someday seeing a bat-borne pandemic virus.
And while the emergence of SARS in China in 2002 could have been chalked up to a `one off' event (see SARS And Remembrance), the emergence of another zoonotic bat-borne coronavirus in the Middle East (MERS-CoV) less than a decade confirmed the threat.
Add in highly fatal hemorrhagic fevers like Marburg and Ebola - both believed carried and spread by bats - zoonotic outbreaks of Nipah Virus in India, Bangladesh, and Malaysia, and the discovery of other SARS-like viruses in bats in China, and even the discovery of two subtypes (H17 & H18) of `Bat Flu' (see PLoS Pathogens: New World Bats Harbor Diverse Flu Strains), and its been a couple of banner decades for Chiroptologists (scientists that study bats) world wide.
Almost exactly 4 years before COVID-19 emerged, we looked at a study of potential hotspots for the emergence of novel bat viruses (see Study: Hotspots For Bat To Human Disease Transmission).
Since Bats are the most abundant and geographically dispersed vertebrates on earth, and they carry a wide variety of viruses, there are opportunities for spillover events across much of the globe.
Also in 2016, in PNAS: SARS-like WIV1-CoV Poised For Human Emergence, we looked at a study published in PNAS - from researchers at UNC Chapel Hill - that described a coronavirus isolated from Chinese horseshoe bats, that already seems to have much of the `right stuff' needed to infect, and replicate, in humans.
- In July of 2018, in IJID: Enhancing Preparation For Large Nipah Outbreaks Beyond Bangladesh, we looked at an open-access article that appeared in the International Journal of Infectious Diseases, that discussed the potential of the Nipah virus producing a large urban epidemic, similar to what we saw in West Africa with Ebola in 2014.
- In 2017 EcoHealth Alliance published a letter in Nature (Host and viral traits predict zoonotic spillover from mammals) providing the first comprehensive analysis of viruses known to infect mammals. From their website summary:
The study shows that bats carry a significantly higher proportion of viruses able to infect people than any other group of mammals; and it identifies the species and geographic regions on the planet with the highest number of yet-to-be discovered, or ‘missing’, viruses likely to infect people. This work provides a new way to predict where and how we should work to identify and pre-empt the next potential viral pandemic before it emerges.
- And perhaps most presciently, was the #Event201 table top pandemic exercise (see The JHCHS #Event201 (Fictional) CAPS Pandemic Scenario - held 3 months before COVID emerged - that envisioned a pandemic caused by a bat-borne coronavirus.
Coronaviruses closely related to the pandemic virus discovered in Japan and Cambodia
The viruses, both found in bats stored in laboratory freezers, are the first SARS-CoV-2 relatives to be found outside China.
Two lab freezers in Asia have yielded surprising discoveries. Researchers have told Nature they have found a coronavirus that is closely related to SARS-CoV-2, the virus responsible for the pandemic, in horseshoe bats stored in a freezer in Cambodia. Meanwhile, a team in Japan has reported the discovery of another closely related coronavirus — also found in frozen bat droppings.
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For more on bats and the zoonotic viruses they carry, you may wish to revisit:
Curr. Opinion Virology: Viruses In Bats & Potential Spillover To Animals And Humans
Back To The Bat Cave: More Influenza In Bats
EID Journal: A New Bat-HKU2–like Coronavirus in Swine, China, 2017
Emerg. Microbes & Infect.: Novel Coronaviruses In Least Horseshoe Bats In Southwestern China