Thursday, December 17, 2020

Saudi MOH Reports 2 MERS-CoV Cases For Epi Week 50

Saudi Arabia

#15,630

Saudi Arabia - which up until the end of May, had reported 56 MERS cases since the first of the year - went silent over the summer in reporting cases.  

Daily MOH updates ceased, and The World Health Organization's last update was published in early July (see WHO DON: Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) – Saudi Arabia), and only covered cases through the end of May. 

Perhaps even more telling, WHO EMRO - which had managed to post monthly reports of MERS in the Middle East even during past `information blackouts' by the Saudi MOH, hasn't posted an update since January 2020.

 

Whether this lull in reporting was due to surveillance and reporting limitations brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic - or had other causes - is unknown.  But prior to the emergence of COVID-19, MERS-CoV was considered the coronavirus with the greatest potential to spark a pandemic.  

In early November the silence was finally broken (see Saudi MOH Reports 1st MERS Case In More Than 5 Months), with the announcement of a single case (with camel contact) in Riyadh.  Since then, a second case was reported on the 1st of December (again, with camel contact from Riyadh).


And two more were reported on December 10th.


All three cases appear to have been `back-filled' - meaning they appear to have been posted several days after their reporting date - and did not show up on the Saudi MOH current week summary.

Even in the best of times, Saudi Surveillance and reporting was estimated to be picking up only a fraction of the actual MERS cases in the Kingdom (see EID Journal: Estimation of Severe MERS Cases in the Middle East, 2012–2016).

While it is possible that the incidence of MERS - like influenza - has dropped precipitously since the arrival of COVID-19, it is also possible that limited, and over taxed resources have led to a reduction in case reports.

Either way, as long as MERS circulates in camels - and occasionally jumps to humans - it remains a credible public health threat.