Tuesday, March 15, 2022

Daily COVID Cases Double Overnight In China (n > 5,300)


Jilin Province, China - Credit Wikipedia

#16,639

Yesterday China reported 1,437 new confirmed cases (and an additional 906 new asymptomatic infections) bringing their 24 hour total to 2,343 cases.  Today, that number has more than doubled, with Jilin province (now under lockdown) contributing more than 3,000 new cases. 

As I reported yesterday, roughly 50 million people in China are under some form of lockdown, while millions more are under enhanced restrictions. All of this is taking a toll on China's economy, with both the Hong Kong and Shanghai markets down sharply overnight. 

While this outbreak is currently most prominent in Jilin province, more than half of China's provinces have reported outbreaks this week. Overnight China reported 3,602 new confirmed cases and an additional 1,768 asymptomatic cases, bringing their 24-hour total to 5,370 cases.

Or more than a 10-fold increase in the past two weeks. 

Today's (translated) synopsis from China's National Health Commission follows. I'll have more after the break.

The latest situation of the novel coronavirus pneumonia as of 24:00 on March 14

Release time: 2022-03-15 Source: Office of Health Emergencies

From 0 to 24:00 on March 14 , 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) and the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps reported 3,602 new confirmed cases . Among them, 95 were imported cases ( 20 in Guangdong, 17 in Guangxi , 12 in Shanghai , 12 in Zhejiang , 9 in Beijing , 9 in Shandong , 6 in Fujian , 4 in Sichuan , 3 in Tianjin , 1 in Liaoning , and 1 in Jilin ) . , 1 in Hubei ), including 20 confirmed cases from asymptomatic infections ( 10 in Zhejiang, 3 in Guangdong , 3 in Sichuan , 2 in Tianjin , 1 in Beijing , and 1 in Guangxi ) ; local cases 3507( 3076 cases in Jilin, including 2601 in Jilin, 460 in Changchun, 10 in Yanbian Korean Autonomous Prefecture , and 5 in Siping ; 106 in Shandong , including 48 in Qingdao, 19 in Binzhou, 12 in Zibo, and 12 in Weihai. There were 10 cases in Beijing, 7 in Weifang, 7 in Dezhou , 2 in Rizhao, and 1 in Yantai ; 53 in Shaanxi , including 40 in Baoji, 6 in Xi'an , 4 in Hanzhong, 2 in Tongchuan, and 2 in Xianyang. 1 in the city ; 51 in Tianjin , including 26 in Wuqing District , 7 in Binhai New District, 4 in Hexi District, 4 in Nankai District, and 4 in Hongqiao District.3 cases, 3 cases in Xiqing District , 2 cases in Jinnan District, and 2 cases in Baodi District ; 48 cases in Guangdong , including 39 in Shenzhen and 9 in Dongguan ; 33 in Fujian , including 31 in Quanzhou and 2 in Xiamen ; Zhejiang 31 cases, including 16 in Jiaxing, 14 in Quzhou, and 1 in Jinhua ; 24 in Liaoning , including 9 in Dalian, 8 in Yingkou, 6 in Shenyang, and 1 in Fuxin ; 20 in Jiangsu , including Changzhou 15 in Beijing, 3 in Lianyungang , 2 in Suzhou ; 13 in Hebei , including 5 in Langfang, 4 in Handan, and 4 in Cangzhou4 cases; 10 in Chongqing, including 7 in Shapingba District , 1 in Yubei District, 1 in Banan District, and 1 in Yongchuan District ; 9 in Shanghai , including 3 in Minhang District , 2 in Huangpu District , 1 in Xuhui District , 1 case in Hongkou District, 1 case in Pudong New Area , 1 case in Songjiang District ; 7 cases in Heilongjiang , all in Harbin City; 7 cases in Gansu , including 4 cases in Lanzhou New District , 2 cases in Lanzhou City, and 1 case in Baiyin City ; 6 cases in Beijing , of which East 2 cases in urban areas, 2 cases in Chaoyang District , 1 case in Xicheng District, and 1 case in Haidian District ; 4 cases in Guangxi , all in Qinzhou City; 4 cases in Yunnan , including 3 cases in Dehong Dai and Jingpo Autonomous Prefecture1 case in Honghe Hani and Yi Autonomous Prefecture ; 2 cases in Guizhou , all in Zunyi City; 1 case in Anhui, in Ma'anshan City; 1 case in Henan, in Yongcheng City; 1 case in Hunan, in Changsha City), including 73 cases from asymptomatic The infected people turned into confirmed cases ( 43 in Shandong, 19 in Jilin , 8 in Tianjin , 2 in Gansu , and 1 in Jiangsu ). No new deaths were reported. Two new suspected cases were added , all imported from abroad (both in Shanghai).

There were 149 new cured and discharged cases on the same day , 7,251 close contacts who were released from medical observation , and the severe cases were the same as the previous day.

There are 2,612 confirmed cases imported from abroad (including 1 severe case ) and 6 suspected cases . A total of 16,432 confirmed cases , 13,820 cured and discharged cases , and no deaths.

As of 24:00 on March 14 , according to reports from 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) and the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps, there were 11,984 confirmed cases (including 8 severe cases ), 103,884 cured and discharged cases , and 4,636 deaths . , a total of 120,504 confirmed cases have been reported , and there are 6 suspected cases . A total of 1,844,212 close contacts have been traced, and 184,281 close contacts are still under medical observation .

31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) and Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps reported 1,768 new asymptomatic infections, including 121 imported cases and 1,647 local cases ( 991 in Jilin , including 979 in Jilin, 5 in Siping, and 5 in Changchun). 3 cases, 2 cases in Yanbian Korean Autonomous Prefecture , 2 cases in Meihekou City ; 185 cases in Hebei , including 169 cases in Langfang City and 16 cases in Cangzhou City ; 130 cases in Shanghai , including 24 cases in Jiading District , 23 cases in Minhang District , and 22 cases in Pudong New Area , 21 in Huangpu District , 11 in Xuhui District , 9 in Songjiang District , 6 in Jing'an District , 4 in Jinshan District , 3 in Hongkou District, 3 in Fengxian District and 2 in Baoshan District1 case in Changning District, 1 case in Yangpu District ; 107 in Shandong , including 43 in Weihai, 27 in Zibo, 16 in Qingdao, 12 in Weifang, 6 in Dezhou , 2 in Binzhou, and 1 in Yantai. 68 cases in Guangdong , including 46 in Dongguan, 21 in Shenzhen, and 1 in Zhongshan ; 30 in Fujian , all in Quanzhou; 27 in Jiangsu, including 9 in Lianyungang, 8 in Suzhou, and 6 in Changzhou , 2 in Yangzhou, 1 in Nanjing, and 1 in Wuxi ; 24 in Yunnan , including 18 in Dehong Dai and Jingpo Autonomous Prefecture , 6 in Honghe Hani and Yi Autonomous Prefecture ; Gansu20 cases, including 12 in Lanzhou, 6 in Baiyin, and 2 in Lanzhou New District ; 19 in Guangxi , including 11 in Chongzuo, 5 in Qinzhou, and 3 in Fangchenggang ; 11 in Anhui , including 9 in Maanshan , 1 in Tongling and 1 in Bozhou ; 9 in Liaoning , including 8 in Dalian and 1 in Yingkou ; 8 in Heilongjiang , including 7 in Harbin and 1 in Mudanjiang ; 7 in Zhejiang , including 4 in Hangzhou , 2 cases in Quzhou City, 1 case in Huzhou City ; 4 cases in Tianjin , including 2 cases in Wuqing District , 1 case in Xiqing District, and 1 case in Binhai New Area ; Chongqing2 cases, both in Shapingba District; 2 cases in Sichuan, both in Yibin City; 2 cases in Guizhou, both in Zunyi City; 1 case in Jiangxi, in Yichun City); 93 confirmed cases ( 20 imported from abroad ) on the same day; 64 cases were released from medical observation ( 40 cases imported from abroad ); 8,650 cases of asymptomatic infections were still under medical observation ( 1,610 cases were imported from abroad ).

A total of 284,856 confirmed cases have been reported from Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan . Among them, there were 263,411 cases in the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (28,318 discharged and 4,279 deaths ), 82 in the Macau Special Administrative Region ( 79 discharged), and 21,363 in Taiwan ( 13,742 discharged and 853 deaths).

Yesterday hard-hit Jilin province reported 1,412 new local confirmed cases 744 local asymptomatic infections (n=2,156).  Today's (translated) report follows:

Jilin Provincial Health Commission's Circular on the Epidemic Situation of Novel
Coronavirus Pneumonia (Announced on March 15, 2022)
Source: Jilin Provincial Health Commission 
  
From 0:00 to 24:00 on March 14, 3,076 new local confirmed cases (3,059 mild cases and 17 common cases) were added in the province, including 2,601 cases in Jilin City (including 18 asymptomatic infections transferred to confirmed cases), 460 cases in Changchun City. Cases (including 1 asymptomatic infected person transferred to a confirmed case), 10 cases in Yanbian Prefecture, and 5 cases in Siping City. There were 991 new cases of local asymptomatic infections, including 979 in Jilin City, 5 in Siping City, 3 in Changchun City, 2 in Yanbian Prefecture, and 2 in Meihekou City.
At 09:00 on March 15, there were 317 new local confirmed cases (all mild) in the province, including 201 cases in Jilin City (including 5 asymptomatic infections transferred to confirmed cases), 115 cases in Changchun City, and 1 in Yanbian Prefecture. example. There were 27 new cases of local asymptomatic infections, including 26 cases in Jilin City and 1 case in Yanbian Prefecture.
The above infected people have been transferred to designated medical institutions for isolation and treatment, and the close contacts and sub-close contacts of the above people have been traced and checked, and control measures have been implemented, and their living and workplaces have been terminally disinfected.
The general public is reminded to pay close attention to the dynamic information of the epidemic released by various places. If there is an intersection with the trajectory of the positive infection, or there is a recent history of travel and residence in the area where the epidemic occurred, please take the initiative to report to the local community (village) or disease control agency immediately, press It is required to cooperate with relevant epidemic control measures. If you have acute respiratory symptoms such as fever and cough, please wear a medical mask and go to the fever clinic of a designated local medical institution in time. Inoculation of the new crown vaccine is an effective measure to prevent the new crown pneumonia. The general public is requested to take the initiative to vaccinate as soon as possible. Everyone must maintain a normal awareness of prevention and control, insist on wearing masks when going out, wash hands frequently, ventilate frequently, maintain social distance, do not have meals, do not gather, and reduce Risk of disease infection.

 

With China's current Zero-COVID policy of locking down any region with even a small number of cases - to allow for mandatory testing, isolation, and/or quarantine - we can expect China's lockdowns to expand in the days and weeks ahead as they attempt to bring Omicron under control the way they did with the original Wuhan virus. 

Whether they can achieve the level of success against a far more transmissible Omicron virus remains to be seen. 

Mainland officials have undoubtedly taken notice of the unusually high fatality rate in Hong Kong - particularly among the unvaccinated elderly - and are desperate to avoid similar impact across their much larger population. Even if it means shutting down important manufacturing and shipping centers.

The cost of all of this - to China's economy - and to the global supply chain, could be profound.

In 2018's Supply Chain Of Fools (Revisited) we looked at some of the likely knock-on effects of a severe pandemic on society in general, and our healthcare delivery system in particular.  And two years ago, during the opening salvo of the pandemic, we saw the impact first hand (see CIDRAP: Growing Drug Shortages Due To COVID-19).

Which makes Omicron's surge in China - and how Mainland officials handle it - of importance to the entire world.