Showing posts with label Norway. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Norway. Show all posts

Friday, January 18, 2013

EuroSurveillance: Revisiting The D222G Mutation In A/H1N1pdm09

 

image 

Flu Virus binding to Receptor Cells – Credit CDC 

 

 

# 6865

 

One of the unresolved  mysteries of the 2009 H1N1 pandemic is that while most people saw a relatively mild illness - for a small percentage of the population - the virus proved unusually severe and sometimes deadly. 

 

We saw the burden of the disease shift to younger adults and adolescents, a cohort that normally endures influenza infection pretty well. In Study: Years Of Life Lost Due To 2009 Pandemic, researchers calculated the mean age of death from the pandemic virus to be half that of seasonal flu, or 37.4 years.

 

And in September of 2011 we saw research indicating the H1N1pdm virus was more likely to exacerbate an S. pneumoniae co-infection (in mice, anyway) than was seasonal H1N1 (see mBio: Lethal Synergism of H1N1 Pandemic Influenza & Bacterial Pneumonia)

 

During November of 2009, news of a small change in the novel H1N1 virus came by way of the Norwegian Institute of Public Health (see Norway Reports An H1N1 Mutation) who announced the discovery of a mutation that “could possibly make the virus more prone to infect deeper in the airways and thus cause more severe disease."

 

The announcement of the `Norway’ or D222G (D225G in influenza H3 Numbering) mutation immediately sent researchers around the world on a hunt for similar changes in the virus, and over the following months several variations on a theme were discovered; D222N, D222E, and D222A.

 

The D222G mutation involves a single amino acid change in the HA1 gene at position 222 from aspartic acid (D) to glycine (G).

 

The pdmH1N1 virus carrying this mutation appeared to bind more readily to receptor cells (α2-3) found deep in the lungs, whereas unmutated seasonal flu strains bind preferentially to the (α2-6) receptor cells found in the upper airway.

 

A virus’s ability to bind to specific cells is controlled by its RBD or Receptor Binding Domain; an area of its genetic code that allows it to attach to, and infect, specific types of host cells.

image

(A Very Simplified Illustration of RBDs)

Like a key into a padlock, the RBD must `fit’ in order to open the cell to infection.

Similarly, D222A changes the HA1 gene at position 222 to Alanine, while D222E changes the gene to Glutamic acid and D222N changes to Asparagine.

 

This D222G mutation had actually been detected months earlier, and in several other countries, but Norway was the first country to announce a possible link between that mutation and greater virulence.

 

In January of 2010, the World Health Organization’s  Weekly Epidemiological Record (No. 4, 2010, 85, 21–28) provided a detailed overview of what was then known about this mutation. 


While stating that more study was needed, the WHO pointed out the lack of apparent ongoing transmission of this mutation, and stated that:

 

`Based on currently available virological, epidemiological and clinical information, the D222G substitution does not appear to pose a major public health issue.’

 

Later in 2010, in Study: Receptor Binding Changes With H1N1 D222G Mutation, we saw more evidence of preferential binding to deep lung cells by viruses with the D222G mutation.

 

The debate over the significance (and origins) of the D222G mutation have continued since then. You can revisit some of those studies in the following blogs:

 

Eurosurveillance: Analysis Of Fatal H1N1 Cases In The UK)

Eurosurveillance: Debating The D222G/N Mutation In H1N1

D222G And Deep Lung Infections

 

All of which serves as prelude to a new study on the D222G mutation – again from Norwegian Institute of Public Healththat appeared yesterday in the journal Eurosurveillance.

 

 

Eurosurveillance, Volume 18, Issue 3, 17 January 2013

Within-patient emergence of the influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 HA1 222G variant and clear association with severe disease, Norway

R Rykkvin, A Kilander, S G Dudman, O Hungnes


Date of submission: 29 December 2012

ABSTRACT (reparagraphed for readability)

The association between a particular mutation in the HA1 subunit of the influenza virus haemagglutinin, D222G, and severe and fatal disease in cases of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 in Norway during the 2009 pandemic was investigated using pyrosequencing.

 

The prevalence of the variant among fatal cases was 8/26 and among severe non-fatal cases 5/52. No D222G mutations were found among the 381 mild cases.

 

This difference could not be attributed to sampling differences, such as body location of sampling, or duration of illness. In cases with mutant virus where clinical specimens from different days of illness were available, transition from wild-type to mutant virus was commonly observed (4/5), indicating that the mutant virus emerged sporadically in individual patients.

 

In patients with paired samples from both the upper and lower respiratory tract (n=8), the same viral genotypes were detected in both locations. In most of the D222G cases (11/13), the mutant virus was found as a quasispecies.

 

 

This a long, and fairly technical report with a lot to digest, and I’m sure many of you will want to read it in its entirety.

 

But in short the authors present several findings, which they summarize in the discussion portion of the paper:

 

In the present study, we provide further epidemiological evidence of the association between the D222G mutation in HA1 of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus and severe or fatal clinical course.

 

Furthermore, we present evidence that the mutated viruses emerge in individual patients after the onset of illness and demonstrate the presence of mutant virus in both the upper and lower respiratory tract. We also address some potential biases that could conceivably confound the analysis.

 

The Norwegian cases of infection with HA1 222G genotype viruses have occurred sporadically and do not cluster epidemiologically or in phylogenetic analysis.

<SNIP>

 

The 222G viruses appear to be rare among circulating strains, but are still quite frequent in patients with severe disease, who are not epidemiologically linked. A likely explanation is that the presence of mutant viruses in these particular individuals experiencing severe disease is due to selective upgrowth of mutant genomes during infection.

 

 

In other words, this mutation appears to occur spontaneously after a person is infected by the H1N1pdm virus, and then, only rarely. But when that happens, the patient appears more likely to experience a more severe illness.

 

As previously reported, It does not appear to transmit efficiently in the wild.

 

The concern here is that viruses can change, and co-mutations could occur that make the D222G mutation more transmissible in the future. 

 

We’ve seen that happen before.

 

In 2006 we saw a smattering of oseltamivir (Tamiflu ®) resistant seasonal H1N1 cases, almost always attributed to `spontaneous mutations’ within a patient receiving the drug.  While of concern to the patient afflicted, it appeared to be poorly transmissible.

 

In the 2006-2007 flu season, laboratories found no resistant strains in Europe or Japan, and in less than 1% of samples from the United States.

 

This resistance was caused by a mutation called H275Y, where a single amino acid substitution (histidine (H) to tyrosine (Y)) occurs at the neuraminidase position 275.

 

(Note: some scientists use 'N2 numbering' (H274Y) and some use 'N1 numbering' (H275Y))

 

The following year, during the 2007-2008 flu season, oseltamivir resistant viruses suddenly took flight, and by the spring of 2008 roughly 25% of European samples tested showed the H275Y mutation (see Increased Tamiflu Resistance In Seasonal Influenza).   

 

By the end of the year, resistant seasonal H1N1 was pretty much the norm around the world.

 

Influenza viruses are both unpredictable and constantly changing. So we watch subtle mutations like the D222G carefully, with the knowledge that the limited threat it poses today (due to its poor transmissibility) may not necessarily hold true tomorrow.

Tuesday, May 18, 2010

A Source Is a Source, Of Course, Of Course

 

 


# 4577

 

 

Earlier today my attention was called to an article that appears in an online publication called The Foreigner, providing Norway-centric news in English.

 

I’ll not reproduce more than the opening to the article.  It’s relatively short, so by all means, follow the link to read it in its entirety.

 

I’ll have more when you return . . .

 

Swine flu vaccine caused deaths

Published on Tuesday, 18th May, 2010 at 10:18 under the news category, by Michael Sandelson.

Norwegian state agency launches investigation.

A syringe
A syringe
Photo: Wikimedia Commons

Ten people in Norway have died as a result of last year’s mass vaccination programme against the swine flu (Influenza A H1N1).

According to figures released by the Norwegian Medicines Agency (Statens legemiddelverk), the Pandemrix vaccine also accounted for 801 reported incidents of side-effects. Health authorities considered 201 of these cases to be severe.

(Continue . . . )

 

 

This seems pretty definitive.  Ten deaths in Norway as a result of the mass vaccination program.  

 

But is this what the Norwegian Medicines Agency reported?

A look at their 2009 Adverse Report (released 05/17/10) shows quite a difference between their analysis and the above declaration that the vaccine killed 10 people in Norway.

 

(Google Translated –emphasis mine)


Deaths

It was reported ten deaths after vaccination with Pandemrix. So far there are no indications that deaths are caused by the vaccine. When many people vaccinated in a short time, it will happens to be death in the modern context of vaccination, but have not causation by the vaccine.

 

The reported deaths occurred from 1 to 38 days after vaccination. This includes three men and seven women aged 23-101 years, median age was 76 years. All who died had underlying diseases that may explain the death

 

 

The Norwegian Medicines Agency website has a summary of this recently released Adverse report, a Google translation of which is below.

 

Adverse Report for 2009

The number of adverse event messages in 2009 is a record high.  Taken together came in 2914 messages. The high number is due to the flu pandemic.

 

More than half of adverse messages were reported as a result of vaccines.


Read the complete adverse event report for 2009 (pdf, opens in new window).

Serious and fatal side effects in 2009

  • The proportion of serious adverse events at the same level as in 2008 (46%).
  • Despite a large number of messages is the number of reported deaths stable (127 deaths).The proportion of fatal cases is 4.4%. It is somewhat lower than the previous five years.
  • As in previous years, most deaths related to treatment with blood-thinning drugs.

2009 Side effects of pandemic vaccine in 2009

Burden associated with influenza pandemic has been great, but health professionals have nevertheless been quick to report side effects.

  • In 2009, it was reported 801 cases of adverse reactions after vaccination with Pandemrix. Health care was specifically asked to report serious events after vaccination. . 201 of these messages is considered serious, such as severe allergic reactions, seizures and Guillain-Barré syndrome.
  • It is reported ten deaths in patients who have had pandemic vaccine. Since the death of 100 people in Norway every day, some deaths identity in the era of vaccination.  Preliminary results show that the deaths do not have any probable connection with the vaccine.
  • It is reported 16 cases of abortions, fetal death or stillbirth associated with vaccination in 2009. In many cases there was severe disease in the fetus that could explain the abortion or stillbirth. So far the data does not signal that the vaccination of pregnant women has caused risk to the fetus or the pregnant.

(Continue . . . )

 

Whether or not the pandemic vaccine will be ultimately linked to any of these deaths is something I can’t answer.   It’s possible. 

 

But the assertion that `Ten people in Norway have died as a result of last year’s mass vaccination’ is a far cry from what the Norwegian Medicines Agency reported yesterday.

 

Which proves that sometimes, if you want the full story, it pays to go to the source’s mouth.

Saturday, November 28, 2009

Ambiguous Mutations

 

 

# 4093

 

 

If you follow the various flu forums, blogs, and websites you are probably aware that there has been a fair amount of discussion in recent days revolving around the `Norwegian’ and `Ukrainian’  mutations, and increased reports of Tamiflu resistant H1N1 viruses.

 

Don McNeil Jr. of the New York Times has an article about the WHO (World Health Organization’s) attempts to dampen fears over these reports, in a piece called Experts Say Swine Flu Mutations Do Not Warrant New Alarm.

 

The tone of the message from the World Health Organization is one of reassurance, although they admit there are things they do not yet understand about these mutations.  

 

I’ll grant that the first inclination of most governments or health agencies - when faced with disturbing news - is to ratchet down public concerns.

 

It is almost an autonomic reflex, and not always a bad thing. Particularly when there is a good deal of ambiguity about the threat.

 

My take is simply that mutations happen, and that we shouldn’t be terribly surprised to see them when they do.  As virologists like to say,  `Shift Happens’   (more accurately `drift’ in this case).

 

But I’m not quick to jump on any viral bandwagon. 

 

Which is why I tend not to become too alarmed over these reports.  At least not until we can get some credible data and analysis.

 

Only time will tell if any of these mutations is `fit’ enough to compete with the existing virus strains and become a `contender’.  Most mutations fail to thrive, and are destined to die out.

 

The isolation of a single mutation, or even a handful of them around the world, doesn’t automatically make for a public health threat, regardless of what the tabloid papers are saying. 

 

But of course, every once in awhile . . .  well, let’s face it.  Every viral change started out small somewhere. 

 

Are the `Norwegian Mutations’ (which actually have been seen in  many places around the world) a big deal?  Or the Tamiflu resistant strains?

 

We don’t know yet.    Maybe.  Stay tuned.

 

Good science takes time.   You have to collect the data and then analyze it.  And sometimes, the data can be confusing or misleading.

 

Hopefully we’ll have a better handle on all of this a week or two from now.  But definitive answers could be months away.  

 

Influenza is constantly fooling us, and the `rules‘ are rarely writ in stone. If any of these mutations end up being less benign than currently advertised, I figure that will become apparent over time. 

 

For now, I regard these viral changes as worthy of our attention, but not our alarm. 

 

This from the New York Times.

 

 

 

Experts Say Swine Flu Mutations Do Not Warrant New Alarm

by DONALD G. McNEIL Jr.

Published: November 27, 2009

The World Health Organization tried this week to dampen fears about mutations seen in the swine flu virus in several countries, noting that both mutations had been found in very few people.

 

A change that created Tamiflu resistance has been found in about 75 people around the world, said Dr. Keiji Fukuda, chief flu adviser to the W.H.O.’s director general. Two clusters, in cancer units at Duke University Medical Center in North Carolina and a hospital in Wales, were both among patients whose immune systems had been severely suppressed by cancer treatment; some had had their bone marrow, which produces infection-fighting white blood cells, wiped out so that replacement blood stem cells could be injected.

 

Such patients are more likely to develop resistant viruses when on Tamiflu because they can not clear a virus on their own. But the mutant strain appears not to spread easily in people with normal immunity, like hospital workers.

 

We don’t know the full answer, but it is more likely that we are not seeing a major shift,” Dr. Fukuda said.

 

Widespread Tamiflu resistance is a serious problem in the seasonal H1N1 virus, but it has not crossed over into the swine H1N1.

 

(Continue . . . )

Friday, November 20, 2009

WHO Statement On Norway Mutation

 


# 4054

 

The WHO (World Health Organization) has issued a statement about the recently announced mutation in the H1N1 virus out of Norway.

 

For now, the WHO states that the mutation is not widespread in Norway, and  the significance of these changes is difficult to assess.

 

This may well turn out to be a tempest in a teapot, and end up more of a scientific side-show than anything else, but any genetic changes to the virus are important to monitor.

 

 

 

Public health significance of virus mutation detected in Norway

Pandemic (H1N1) 2009 briefing note 17

 

20 NOVEMBER 2009 | GENEVA -- The Norwegian Institute of Public Health has informed WHO of a mutation detected in three H1N1 viruses. The viruses were isolated from the first two fatal cases of pandemic influenza in the country and one patient with severe illness.

 

Norwegian scientists have analysed samples from more than 70 patients with clinical illness and no further instances of this mutation have been detected. This finding suggests that the mutation is not widespread in the country.

 

The virus with this mutation remains sensitive to the antiviral drugs, oseltamivir and zanamivir, and studies show that currently available pandemic vaccines confer protection.

 

Worldwide, laboratory monitoring of influenza viruses has detected a similar mutation in viruses from several other countries, with the earliest detection occurring in April. In addition to Norway, the mutation has been observed in Brazil, China, Japan, Mexico, Ukraine, and the US.

 

Although information on all these cases is incomplete, several viruses showing the same mutation were detected in fatal cases, and the mutation has also been detected in some mild cases. Worldwide, viruses from numerous fatal cases have not shown the mutation. The public health significance of this finding is thus unclear.

 

The mutations appear to occur sporadically and spontaneously. To date, no links between the small number of patients infected with the mutated virus have been found and the mutation does not appear to spread.

 

The significance of the mutation is being assessed by scientists in the WHO network of influenza laboratories. Changes in viruses at the genetic level need to be constantly monitored. However, the significance of these changes is difficult to assess. Many mutations do not alter any important features of the virus or the illness it causes. For this reason, WHO also uses clinical and epidemiological data when making risk assessments.

 

Although further investigation is under way, no evidence currently suggests that these mutations are leading to an unusual increase in the number of H1N1 infections or a greater number of severe or fatal cases.

 

 

Laboratories in the WHO Global Influenza Surveillance Network closely monitor influenza viruses worldwide and will remain vigilant for any further changes in the virus that may have public health significance.

Monday, October 19, 2009

Norway: Swine Flu Infects 14 Farms

 

 

# 3850

 

 

While we awaits tests on 3 pigs suspected of having had the H1N1 virus in Minnesota, Norway is now reporting that at least 14 pig farms have tested positive for the swine flu virus.


Dutchy over on FluTrackers, along with Anty, Treyfish, and several other newshounds have been tracking, and translating news articles on this emerging story for more than a week.  

 

You can read the history, and follow the future progress here.

 

Early in the outbreak, when it appeared to be localized to only 1 or 2 farms, there were attempts to slaughter infected herds to prevent further spread of the virus.  With the ongoing spread, culling has been abandoned.

 

This latest report was posted and translated by Dutchy.

 

 

Monday 19th October 2009,
Norwegian pigs infected with H1N1
By Ritzau
Ritzau@mja.dk


Sick people infect pigs with H1N1 influenza in Norway, where 14 farms are now suffering from the dreaded virus.

 
Sick people infect pigs with H1N1 influenza in Norway, where 14 farms are now suffering from the dreaded virus.


Several pig herds in Norway are infected with H1N1 influenza, also known as swine flu.


It informs the Norwegian food agency, Mattilsynet.

Previously, the infection was limited to North-Trøndelag, which is an area in central Norway. But now there is also found sick pigs in two herds further south in Buskerud and Rogaland.


In total there are proven influenza infection in 14 herds, and took 34 samples.


- It is not surprising that we find infected herds in other parts of the country, said supervisory director in Mattilsynet, Kristina Landsverk.
It is humans, which infects pigs, and Mattilsynet think it may be difficult to restrict the disease, when people across the country are infected with H1N1.


Inspectorate notes that the disease can not be fought with slaughter of pigs and establishment of control zones.

 

 

Overnight ProMed Mail  sent out an update on the H1N1 outbreak among swine in Norway, with excerpts from news reports and this summation:

 

[Norway reported to the OIE, so far, 3 H1N1 outbreaks on pig farms.
The initial, immediate notification was submitted on 12 Oct 2009; follow-up reports were submitted on 13 and 16 Oct 2009; all 3, including a map, are available at


<http://www.oie.int/wahis/public.php?page=event_summary&reportid=8515>.


The most recent follow-up report, number 2, submitted on 16 Oct 2009, included the following epidemiological comments:

“More herds in the district are infected though not all of them have been tested and confirmed as having the pandemic influenza A (H1N1) 2009 variant. No animal contact between this herd and the 2 first confirmed cases. The virus seems to be extremely contagious between humans and pigs. On 15 October, we decided to abandon our attempt at culling infected herds."

 

(continue . . .)

 

 

 

The underlying concern, of course, is that swine are susceptible to a wide variety of influenza viruses, and are thought to make excellent `mixing vessels’ for influenza stains.

 

Reassortant pig

 

Although the odds of it happening are probably very low, the worry is that a pig could be infected by two different influenza strains simultaneous, and a mixing – or reassortment – of the viruses could take place.   

 

The result could be a new, or mutated, flu virus.  

 

While reassortments do happen - ending up with a biologically `fit’ virus well enough adapted to humans to spread easily - is a pretty rare event.   

 

The novel H1N1 virus we are now dealing with undoubtedly came about through a series of such reassortments, but it also circulated (and mutated) in pigs for years before making that successful jump to humans.

 


Meanwhile, some hog farmers here in the US are reportedly reluctant to test their herds (see Swine Flu: Don’t Test, Don’t Tell) out of fears that the discovery of swine flu would further depress pork sales.