Tuesday, June 01, 2010

Hurricane Resources On The Net

 

# 4612

 

 

Today marks the first day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, and if you haven’t already heard, this year experts are expecting an above average season.

 

Last week was National Hurricane Preparedness week, and during the month of May this blog devoted considerable time to the subject.

 

A Hurricane Reality Check
National Hurricane Preparedness Week: Day 6
NOAA 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Outlook
The Worst That Could Happen
Hurricanes and Inland Flooding
Why I’ll Be Gone With The Wind
Storm Surge Monday
The Crossroads Of The Atlantic Storm Season
You Don’t Have To Live On The Coast

 

 

The Eastern Pacific Hurricane season started two weeks ago, and they’ve already seen their first tropical storm (Agatha), one that left behind more than 100 dead in Guatemala and El Salvador and perhaps the most spectacular urban sink hole that I’ve ever seen.

 

While long-range outlooks are not always accurate, this season has the early earmarks of being a busy one.


Today I’m sharing some of my favorite online Hurricane resources.  Some of these are `official government’ portals of information, while others are run by hurricane and severe weather enthusiasts.

 

While some very good information can be had through non-official channels, you should only rely on local emergency management officials, the National Hurricane Center, and the National Weather Service for forecasts, warnings, and evacuation recommendations.

 

The first stop on our list is the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida.  These are the real experts, and the only ones you should rely on to track and forecast the storm.

 

image

 

This year there are some significant changes in how the NHC will advise us on hurricanes.   Some of the (excerpted) highlights include:

 

Watches and warnings for tropical storms and hurricanes along threatened coastal areas will be issued 12 hours earlier than in previous years. Tropical storm watches will be issued when tropical storm conditions are possible along the coast within 48 hours.

Tropical storm warnings will be issued when those conditions are expected within 36 hours. Similar increases in lead-time will
apply to hurricane watches and warnings. 


The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale will become operational.  The scale keeps the same wind speed ranges as  the original Saffir-Simpson Scale for each of the five hurricane categories, but no longer ties specific storm surge and flooding effects to each category.

 
The size of the tropical cyclone forecast cone will be adjusted.

The cone represents the probable track of the center of a tropical cyclone, and is formed by enclosing the area swept out by a set of imaginary circles placed along the forecast track (at 12, 24, 36 hours, etc.).  The size of each circle is set so that two-thirds of historical official forecast errors over a 5-year sample fall within the circle.

The circle radii defining the cones in 2010 for the Atlantic and eastern North Pacific basins are given in the table below.  

image

 

The second official information source you should have bookmarked is you local Office of Emergency Management.  Here you’ll be able to access local warnings, flood maps and evacuation information.

 

To find it, you can Google or Yahoo search with your county/parish name and the words `Emergency Management’.   Below you’ll find a screenshot of the entry page to my county’s page.

 

image

 

If you are on Twitter, you should also follow FEMAinfocus, CraigatFEMA,  and ReadydotGov.

 

 

Beyond the official channels there are resources for those who wish to follow these storm more closely, to participate in online discussions, or who would like independent assessments of storm tracks or movement.

 

These are not substitutes for the National Hurricane Center’s forecasts or your local office of Emergency Management advisories.

 

And while some of these sites have some very talented and knowledgeable amateur meteorologists, until you know the players and their track records, you really don’t know who is worth listening to, and who isn’t.

 

You can learn a lot from the online Hurricane discussion forums, but Caveat Lector when it comes to forecasts and predictions.

 

 

The first stop on the unofficial tour is Weather Underground’s Tropical weather page.  This is an extremely comprehensive website, and a good source of global weather information.

 

And for severe weather analysis, Dr. Jeff Masters (a co-founder of Weather Underground) writes his well respected WunderBlog.

 

For those who like to `look under the hood’, my hometown (Tampa Bay) Fox TV station has a terrific hurricane page, with access to numerous (animated) hurricane forecast models.

 

For hurricane geeks, this is about as close to weather nirvana as you can get.

 

image 

 

 

While there are dozens of other hurricane resource and tracking/discussion sites out there, I’ll just mention a couple I’ve used in the past.

 

First is Hurricane City, which has been around since 1997, and boasts an active discussion board, up-to-date NHC advisories, and frequent live video broadcasts during the hurricane season via their hurricane TV  channel.  

 

And then there’s storm chaser Mark Sudduth’s Hurricanetrack.com, which also features live video, often from inside the storm.


Both of these sites have free access and paid subscription access levels. I offer these as examples of a genre, but without specific recommendation.  

 

Their usefulness to you will depend, quite frankly, upon your level of hurricane geekiness.  They aren’t for everyone.

 

As hurricane season ramps up, you can expect a fair amount of coverage in this blog as well.  When a storm threatens a specific region of the coast, I’ll try to provide local resources that you can monitor.

 

In the meantime, now is the time to get your disaster preparations in order.  Here is some of the information provided by the National Hurricane Center on preparedness.

 

Be Prepared
"Preventing the loss of life and minimizing the damage to property from hurricanes are responsibilities that are shared by all
."

Hurricane Season: Are You 
Prepared?Throughout this Web site, information has been provided regarding actions that you can take based on specific hurricane hazards. The most important thing that you can do is to be informed and prepared. Disaster prevention includes both being prepared as well as reducing damages (mitigation).

Disaster Prevention should include: