Monday, October 06, 2014

The WHO Weighs In On The Modes Of Ebola Transmission


Credit Dr. Ian Mackay’s  VDU Blog 


# 9151

A topic we’ve revisited often over the past couple of months are the ways that Ebola might be transmitted among humans.   While clearly not an airborne virus in the classic sense – else we’d have seen this virus already spread to every continent – there are potential routes of infection that do not involve actual direct physical contact with an infected, symptomatic individual.


Dr. Ian Mackay, in his blogs What words would you use to separate influenza spread from Ebola virus disease spread?, It's what falls out of the aerosol that matters.... & The wind beneath my Ebola virus.... ) has explored the potential role of large droplets – which could be coughed, sneezed, expressed or otherwise propelled a short distance onto another person by an infected individual.


What I’ve dubbed being within `spittle range’  (see Ebola Risk Communications & Ebola: Parsing The CDC’s Low Risk vs High Risk Exposures) – a risk that is more theoretical than documented - but one that cannot be ignored. 


Hence the call for PPEs (including facemasks and eye protection) when in close proximity to an infected, symptomatic case.


Today the World Health Organization  - who appears to have been listening and watching this online debate – has come out with an Ebola situation assessment that addresses these concerns.  

While their answer won’t fit neatly into a 10 second sound bite, it does acknowledge the potential for transmission to occur through `. . . virus-laden heavy droplets are directly propelled, by coughing or sneezing (which does not mean airborne transmission) onto the mucus membranes or skin with cuts or abrasions of another person.’


The WHO also addresses speculation that the Ebola virus might mutate into a more transmissible pathogen over time.



What we know about transmission of the Ebola virus among humans

Ebola situation assessment - 6 October 2014

The Ebola virus is transmitted among humans through close and direct physical contact with infected bodily fluids, the most infectious being blood, faeces and vomit.

The Ebola virus has also been detected in breast milk, urine and semen. In a convalescent male, the virus can persist in semen for at least 70 days; one study suggests persistence for more than 90 days.

Saliva and tears may also carry some risk. However, the studies implicating these additional bodily fluids were extremely limited in sample size and the science is inconclusive. In studies of saliva, the virus was found most frequently in patients at a severe stage of illness. The whole live virus has never been isolated from sweat.

The Ebola virus can also be transmitted indirectly, by contact with previously contaminated surfaces and objects. The risk of transmission from these surfaces is low and can be reduced even further by appropriate cleaning and disinfection procedures.

Not an airborne virus

Ebola virus disease is not an airborne infection. Airborne spread among humans implies inhalation of an infectious dose of virus from a suspended cloud of small dried droplets.

This mode of transmission has not been observed during extensive studies of the Ebola virus over several decades.

Common sense and observation tell us that spread of the virus via coughing or sneezing is rare, if it happens at all. Epidemiological data emerging from the outbreak are not consistent with the pattern of spread seen with airborne viruses, like those that cause measles and chickenpox, or the airborne bacterium that causes tuberculosis.

Theoretically, wet and bigger droplets from a heavily infected individual, who has respiratory symptoms caused by other conditions or who vomits violently, could transmit the virus – over a short distance – to another nearby person.

This could happen when virus-laden heavy droplets are directly propelled, by coughing or sneezing (which does not mean airborne transmission) onto the mucus membranes or skin with cuts or abrasions of another person.

WHO is not aware of any studies that actually document this mode of transmission. On the contrary, good quality studies from previous Ebola outbreaks show that all cases were infected by direct close contact with symptomatic patients.

No evidence that viral diseases change their mode of transmission

Moreover, scientists are unaware of any virus that has dramatically changed its mode of transmission. For example, the H5N1 avian influenza virus, which has caused sporadic human cases since 1997, is now endemic in chickens and ducks in large parts of Asia.

That virus has probably circulated through many billions of birds for at least two decades. Its mode of transmission remains basically unchanged.

Speculation that Ebola virus disease might mutate into a form that could easily spread among humans through the air is just that: speculation, unsubstantiated by any evidence.

This kind of speculation is unfounded but understandable as health officials race to catch up with this fast-moving and rapidly evolving outbreak.

To stop this outbreak, more needs to be done to implement – on a much larger scale – well-known protective and preventive measures. Abundant evidence has documented their effectiveness.


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