H7N9 2014 Timeline – VDU Blog
# 8222
Overnight Professor Mackay has posted a couple of H7N9 blogs, including a revised case timeline chart for 2014 (see above). Along the way Ian discusses a dubious milestone for Zhejiang Province, the likelihood that we are only seeing a subset of the actual number of infections, and early reports (always subject to revision) that suggest the fatality rate may not be running as high this year as it was last spring.
Follow the links to read:
Zhejiang province surpasses 100 avian influenza A(H7N9) cases...
As of tonight's 2 additions, my tally shows Zhejiang province on 101 H7N9 cases, 41.2% of all 245 human infections confirmed to date. The BBC recently noted 55 deaths which would result in a PFC of 22%. This continues the lower trend we've seen in the PFC for a while now; the result of a sharp increase in new cases but few deaths among those.
The return of the H7N9 case chart timeline...
...and its associated headaches.
This is a chart the really relies on complete data to be of full use.
I just had a look at the 2013 chart...you can find it here... which was last updated 02.06.2013. It's clear from that figure that detail on when H7N9 cases leave hospital was pretty scarce at the end of the first outbreak; or I couldn't find it. There has been a tally described in the past - around 86 cases discharged I think - but which cases is largely unclear.
