#15,461
Even as the remnants of Hurricane Sally spread flooding rains across the Southeastern states, and residents in Florida and Alabama begin to assess and deal with the damage, the tropics continue to brew new threats.
Closest to home, and the most likely to develop into something, is an area of disturbed weather in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, which the National Hurricane Center gives a 90% chance of development over the next few days.
From the 8 am EST Tropical Outlook:
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Sep 17 2020
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Teddy, located over the central tropical Atlantic and on Tropical Storm Vicky, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic. The National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on Tropical Depression Sally, located inland over eastern Alabama.
1. Thunderstorm activity has continued to increase and become better organized this morning in association with a well-defined low pressure system located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
Upper-level winds are gradually becoming more conducive for development and, if this recent development trend continues, a tropical depression or a tropical storm could form later today.
The low is expected to meander over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico for the next day or so before moving slowly northward to northeastward on Friday and Saturday. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon.* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
If this system develops, it will be named Wilfred - the 21st named storm of the season. After Wilfred, the NHC will use the names of the letters from the Greek Alphabet to identify the rest of the storms of the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season.
While steering currents are expected to be weak for the next couple of days, if this storm develops, it is expected to move north or northeastward in a few days, and could eventually threaten our already battered Gulf Coast.
Stay tuned.