Thursday, October 28, 2021

Singapore MOH Investigating `Unusual' Surge In COVID Cases As New Daily Record is Set


Community Cases 10/12 - Excludes migrant worker dormitories & imported cases.

#16,228

Just over a months ago, in Singapore Reinstates Some Societal Restrictions As COVID Hospitalizations Surge, we looked at the sudden reversal of Singapore's plans to treat COVID much as they treat influenza (see Singapore preparing road map for living with Covid-19) as daily cases surged from the low double digits in August to over 1700 a day in less than a month.

Despite these new restrictions, 8 days ago ago Singapore Set A New Daily Record For COVID Cases with 3,994 cases. 

Remarkably, yesterday that record was broken by what their MOH is calling an `unusual'  surge of more than 30%, with 5324 cases reported in the past 24 hours. 





UPDATE ON LOCAL COVID-19 SITUATION (27 OCT 2021)

27TH OCT 2021

Summary of local situation
· 3,172 cases were discharged today, of whom 484 are seniors aged 60 and above.

· Over the last 28 days, of the 90,203 infected individuals, 98.7% had no or mild symptoms, 0.9% required oxygen supplementation in the general ward, 0.1% were unstable and under close monitoring in the intensive care unit (ICU), 0.1% were critically ill and intubated in the ICU, and 0.2% has died.

· 1,777 cases remain warded in hospital. 308 cases require oxygen supplementation in the general ward, 76 are unstable and under close monitoring in the ICU, and 66 are critically ill and intubated in the ICU. The current overall ICU utilisation rate is 79.8% and the Ministry of Health (MOH) is in the process of standing up more ICU beds.

· As of 26 October 2021, 84% of our population has completed their full regimen/ received two doses of COVID-19 vaccines, 85% has received at least one dose, and 14% has received boosters.

· As of 27 October 2021, 12pm, MOH has detected a total of 5,324 new cases of COVID-19 infection in Singapore, with 4,651 in the community, 661 in the migrant worker dormitories and 12 imported cases. The weekly infection growth rate is 1.15.

· The infection numbers are unusually high today, mostly due to many COVID-positive cases detected by the testing laboratories within a few hours in the afternoon. MOH is looking into this unusual surge in cases within a relatively short window, and closely monitoring the trends for the next few days.

          (Continue . . . )

 

Up until very recently Singapore has been the poster child for controlling the pandemic, with a relatively minor surge during the summer of 2020, followed by nearly a year of low double or single digit daily cases (see chart below).


Based that impressive track record, and one of the best COVID vaccination update rates in the world (currently 84% full regimen/two doses of COVID-19 vaccines, 85% has received at least one dose, and 14% have received their booster shots), Singapore decided it was safe to relax restrictions in August. 

And that is precisely when this surge began. 

We'll have to wait to see what is behind this sudden surge in cases, and whether this surge will continue, but the evidence is pretty clear in Singapore - as we've also seen in the UK, and  increasingly in Europe and Russia - that if given half a chance, COVID can come back with a vengeance. 

Something to consider the next time someone tells you that the pandemic is `nearly over'.