Tuesday, June 02, 2020

NHC: Cristobal Becomes 3rd Tropical Storm Of 2020

















#15,299

Although they haven't updated their graphics yet, the NHC (National Hurricane Center) has announced that the low pressure area we looked at yesterday entering the Bay of Campeche, has strengthened into the 3rd tropical storm of year.

WTNT63 KNHC 021626 CCB TCUAT3
Tropical Storm Cristobal Tropical Cyclone Update 
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020 1115 AM CDT Jun 02 2020 
Corrected storm ID in header ...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...
Observations from an Air Force Reserve Unit Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Tropical Depression Three has strengthened into Tropical Storm Cristobal. The maximum winds are estimated to be 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
 SUMMARY OF 1115 AM CDT...1615 UTC...INFORMATION ---
LOCATION...19.3N 92.7W
ABOUT 150 MI...245 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 230 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
$$ Forecaster Pasch
This tropical storm is expected to meander in the BOC for the next couple of days before heading north into the central Gulf of Mexico. Early model runs suggest the storm may affect the northern gulf coast in 6 or 7 days. 
Credit SWFMD
Forecast tracks and intensity models should become more reliable in the next couple of days.  For now, the guidance suggests a strong tropical storm or possibly a CAT 1 hurricane in the gulf late this weekend. 

Interests from Texas to the Florida panhandle should pay attention to the progress of this system, and make whatever preparations for its arrival well in advance of the storm. 
Your primary source of forecast information should always be the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida. These are the real experts, and the only ones you should rely on to track and forecast the storm.
If you are on Twitter, you should also follow @FEMA, @NHC_Atlantic, @NHC_Pacific and @ReadyGov and of course take direction from your local Emergency Management Office.