Monday, February 03, 2025

Emergency Preparedness: A Medicine For The Melancholy

#18,596

During 2024 the United States saw 27 Billion-dollar weather disasters, resulting in the deaths of at least 568 people, and economic losses of over $180 billion dollars.  While not the worst year on record, it was bad enough. 
Last fall - along with several million other Floridians -  I found myself under the gun for the second time in two weeks from an approaching hurricane. While I was able to ride out Helene in my home, Milton was another story (see With Milton, Evacuation Is The Better Part Of Valor).

Thanks to having a Disaster Buddy, I had a pre-arranged safe place to go. And while my home took some damage, the floodwaters - which inundated homes only a few hundred feet from mine - spared my humble abode.  It would take more than a week for my power, water, and Internet to be fully restored (see Signs of Life), but I count myself very lucky. 

Since this was my 3rd evacuation in the past 7 years, I was reasonably well prepared.  But every crisis is a learning experience, and since then I've improved my emergency preparations (see Post-Milton Improvements To My Power Preps).

Already in 2025, Southern California has endured the costliest wildfire in history, while the Southern States (Texas, Louisiana, Alabama, Georgia and Florida) experienced rare blizzard conditions. Although nowhere is completely safe, FEMA's National Risk Index For Natural Disasters (see map below) shows the historically highest risk areas in the country.

Not surprisingly, Southern California and much of Florida are among the highest risk regions in the nation. 

No one can predict what the next 11 months will bring, but the spring severe weather season is likely only weeks from ramping up, hurricane season starts again in 5 months, and earthquakes, wildfires, and floods can happen at any time. 

While most disasters are local or regional, some can be national or international in scope. And of course, the elephant in the room is the potential for seeing another pandemic. On December 4th PAHO (the Pan American Health Organization) issued a strongly worded 20-page epidemiological alert on the growing number of human H5N1 cases in the United States, urging that Member states `. . . ensure preparedness for a potential influenza pandemic at all levels (14, 15).'

While we might go years before that happens again, the aggressive spread and spillover of avian flu is a genuine concern, and - like with COVID - there could be little or no warning should it happen.

Three months ago, in A Personal Pre-Pandemic Plan, I provided links to a number of useful documents - many buried in the CDC Archives - on preparing for a pandemic.  I'd suggest downloading them now, while they remain easily accessible. 

I would also suggest - in addition to lining up one or more `flu buddies' - that if you plan to have NPIs like face masks, and hand sanitizer - that you get them now, while supplies are abundant, and costs are relatively low. 

Other preparations that would be useful in any emergency/disaster situation include:
  • Having enough food and water stockpiled for 10 to 14 days
The physical and psychological impacts stemming from the hardships following a disaster are quite real (see Post-Disaster Sequelae), and a modicum of creature comforts can go a long ways towards mitigating their effects.

While being better prepared doesn't guarantee you and your loved ones will come through a major disaster unscathed - it is relatively cheap insurance - and it can substantially improve your chances.

And for me at least, I sleep a lot better knowing I am reasonably well prepared for . . . whatever may come.