Showing posts with label Paradox. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Paradox. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 02, 2013

JAMA: BMI And All Cause Mortality

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Photo Credit CDC PHIL

 

# 6816

 

*** UPDATED ***

This study, which I knew would be controversial, has sparked serious rebukes from some members of the medical community. In the Interest of fairness, here is a link to an article from BBC News, where a number of doctors take issue with its findings.

 

'Weight is healthy' study criticised

A study which suggests being overweight can lead to a longer life has caused controversy among obesity experts.

(Continue . . . )

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As someone who has been `gravitationally challenged’ nearly all of his life, I naturally have concerns that my extra poundage may be cutting into my lifespan.

 

While aesthetically, thinner may be perceived by many as being better, increasingly we are seeing evidence to suggest that carrying a few extra pounds may actually extend one’s lifespan, not shorten it.

 

Last October, in Studies Weigh In On The `Obesity Paradox’, we looked at research that suggested that for people with certain medical conditions, including diabetes, congestive heart failure, kidney dialysis, heart attacks, and Asthma - carrying some extra weight appears to improve their outcomes

 

Now, in a study published in JAMA, we have the most comprehensive look to date at all-cause mortality spanning nearly 3 million people (and 270,000 deaths), and sorted by BMI (Body Mass Index) classification.

 

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Photo Credit JAMA Report Video

 

The results, consistent across all ages and ethnic groups, indicated that while BMI’s over 35 (Class 2 and Class 3 obesity) increase overall mortality, that simply being overweight (BMI 25-<30) was associated with a significant reduction in all-cause mortality.

 

And even those who fell into the next higher BMI category (class 1 obesity) saw a 5% reduction in overall mortality compared to those falling into the normal weight BMI (18.5-<25).

 

Mortality rates do jump considerably once you reach a BMI > 35 ( resulting in a 29% increased risk of death for obesity grades 2 and 3). The HHS maintains an online BMI calculator HERE, where you can input your height and weight and quickly find out your number.

 

The JAMA article, which is heavy in statistics and details, is freely available at the following link.

 

Association of All-Cause Mortality With Overweight and Obesity Using Standard Body Mass Index Categories: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Katherine M. Flegal, PhD; Brian K. Kit, MD; Heather Orpana, PhD; Barry I. Graubard, PhD

Conclusions and Relevance  Relative to normal weight, both obesity (all grades) and grades 2 and 3 obesity were associated with significantly higher all-cause mortality. Grade 1 obesity overall was not associated with higher mortality, and overweight was associated with significantly lower all-cause mortality. The use of predefined standard BMI groupings can facilitate between-study comparisons.

 

Several brief videos, and press release (excerpts below) can be viewed at:

 

Higher Levels of Obesity Associated With Increased Risk of Death; Being Overweight Associated With Lower Risk of Death

EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: 3 P.M. (CT) TUESDAY, JANUARY 1, 2013

CHICAGO – In an analysis of nearly 100 studies that included approximately 3 million adults, relative to normal weight, overall obesity (combining all grades) and higher levels of obesity were both associated with a significantly higher all-cause risk of death, while overweight was associated with significantly lower all-cause mortality, according to a study in the January 2 issue of JAMA.

 

“Estimates of the relative mortality risks associated with normal weight, overweight, and obesity may help to inform decision making in the clinical setting,” according to background information in the article.

 

Katherine M. Flegal, Ph.D., of the National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Hyattsville, Md., and colleagues conducted a study to compile and summarize published analyses of body mass index (BMI) and all-cause mortality that provide hazard ratios (HRs) for standard BMI categories. For the review and meta-analysis, the researchers identified 97 studies that met inclusion criteria, which provided a combined sample size of more than 2.88 million individuals and more than 270,000 deaths. Regions of origin of participants included the United States or Canada (n = 41 studies), Europe (n = 37), Australia (n = 7), China or Taiwan (n = 4), Japan (n = 2), Brazil (n = 2), Israel (n = 2), India (n = l), and Mexico (n = l).

 

All-cause mortality HRs for overweight (BMI of 25-<30), obesity (BMI of ≥30), grade 1 obesity (BMI of 30-<35), and grades 2 and 3 obesity (BMI of ≥35) were calculated relative to normal weight (BMI of 18.5-<25).

 

The researchers found that the summary HRs indicated a 6 percent lower risk of death for overweight; a 18 percent higher risk of death for obesity (all grades); a 5 percent lower risk of death for grade 1 obesity; and a 29 percent increased risk of death for grades 2 and 3 obesity.

 

The authors note that the finding that grade 1 obesity was not associated with higher mortality suggests that that the excess mortality in obesity may predominantly be due to elevated mortality at higher BMI levels.

(Continue . . . )

 

In an accompanying editorial, Does Body Mass Index Adequately Convey a Patient’s Mortality Risk?, authors Steven B. Heymsfield, MD and William T. Cefalu, MD write:

 

The presence of a wasting disease, heart disease, diabetes, renal dialysis, or older age are all associated with an inverse relationship between BMI and mortality rate, an observation termed the obesity paradox or reverse epidemiology. The optimal BMI linked with lowest mortality in patients with chronic disease may be within the overweight and obesity range. Even in the absence of chronic disease, small excess amounts of adipose tissue may provide needed energy reserves during acute catabolic illnesses, have beneficial mechanical effects with some types of traumatic injuries, and convey other salutary effects that need to be investigated in light of the studies by Flegal et al and others.”

 

“Not all patients classified as being overweight or having grade 1 obesity, particularly those with chronic diseases, can be assumed to require weight loss treatment. Establishing BMI is only the first step toward a more comprehensive risk evaluation.”

 

While I can think of many other disadvantages to being overweight (my dreaded fear of wicker furniture being one), it appears that at least in terms of overall mortality - carrying a few extra pounds may actually turn out to be desirable - particularly among those who have chronic ailments.

Monday, October 22, 2012

Studies Weigh In On The `Obesity Paradox’

 

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Photo Credit CDC PHIL

 

 

# 6651

 

While just about everyone will concede that being lean and athletic is preferable to being soft and pudgy, there is a growing body of evidence that – with some medical conditions, at least - having a bit of extra poundage could be beneficial to your long-term survival. 

 

Research has shown that patients having a BMI > 30 actually are more likely to survive certain medical conditions than patients with a normal or below-normal body mass index.

 

It’s called the `Obesity Paradox’, and quite frankly, it’s been driving doctors and researchers just a little bit nuts for years.  

 

Now, before anyone cries `foul’, there are plenty of health risks that come from being obese, including diabetes, coronary artery disease, sleep apena, hypertension, and stroke. The point here isn’t that being overweight is healthier.

 

it isn’t.

 

But for people with certain medical conditions, including diabetes, congestive heart failure, kidney dialysis, heart attacks, and Asthma - carrying extra pounds appears to improve their outcomes.

 

This curious (and controversial) finding was first described in the literature in 1999, regarding survival rates of patients on kidney dialysis (see Influence of excess weight on mortality and hospital stay in 1346 hemodialysis patients). 

 

Since then, this phenomenon has inspired a good deal of research, much of it coming to similar conclusions.

 

Overnight we saw this press release come from the American College of Chest Physicians.

 

 

'Obesity paradox': Extra weight linked to better outcomes for septic shock, asthma exacerbation

Although obesity is linked to a variety of health risks, new research indicates that obese patients may have an advantage over nonobese patients in certain health situations, including septic shock and acute asthma exacerbation.

 

In two separate studies presented at CHEST 2012, the annual meeting of the American College of Chest Physicians, researchers compared outcomes in obese (BMI >30) vs nonobese patients with either septic shock or acute asthma exacerbation. Results showed that, although obese patients with asthma are more at risk for asthma exacerbations, near fatal exacerbations were more prevalent in nonobese patients.

 

Likewise, obese patients with septic shock had decreased mortality compared with nonobese patients. Researchers attribute this "obesity paradox" partly to a blunted pro-inflammatory cytokine response in obese patients.

 

 

Recently,  JAMA published a pooled analysis of 5 cohort studies that found – surprisingly – that : “Adults who were normal weight at the time of incident diabetes had higher mortality than adults who are overweight or obese.”

Original Contribution | August 8, 2012

Association of Weight Status With Mortality in Adults With Incident Diabetes

Mercedes R. Carnethon, PhD; Peter John D. De Chavez, MS; Mary L. Biggs, PhD; Cora E. Lewis, MD; James S. Pankow, PhD; Alain G. Bertoni, MD, MS; Sherita H. Golden, MD, MS; Kiang Liu, PhD; Kenneth J. Mukamal, MD, MPH; Brenda Campbell-Jenkins, PhD; Alan R. Dyer, PhD

JAMA. 2012;308(6):581-590. doi:10.1001/jama.2012.9282.

 

 

 

We’ve another large study out of Sweden that looked at patient outcomes with acute coronary syndromes (ACSs)  – and you guessed it – obese patients had better survival rates after a heart attack than patients of normal weight.

 

Evidence for obesity paradox in patients with acute coronary syndromes: a report from the Swedish Coronary Angiography and Angioplasty Registry

Oskar Angerås, Per Albertsson, Kristjan Karason, Truls Råmunddal, Göran Matejka, Stefan James, Bo Lagerqvist, Annika Rosengren and Elmir Omerovic

Conclusion In this large and unselected group of patients with ACSs, the relation between BMI and mortality was U-shaped, with the nadir among overweight or obese patients and underweight and normal-weight patients having the highest risk. These data strengthen the concept of the obesity paradox substantially.

 

 

Similarly, from the American Journal of Cardiology, we get this study from earlier this summer, on survival rates of patients with congestive heart failure.


Volume 110, Issue 1 , Pages 77-82, 1 July 2012

The Obesity Paradox in Men Versus Women With Systolic Heart Failure

Adrienne L. Clark, BA, Jennifer Chyu, Tamara B. Horwich, MD, MS

Abstract (excerpt):

In multivariate analyses, normal BMI and normal WC were associated with higher relative risk for the primary outcome in men (BMI 1.34, WC 2.02) and women (BMI 1.38, WC 2.99). In conclusion, in patients with advanced HF, high BMI and WC were associated with improved outcomes in both genders. Further investigation of the interaction between body composition and gender in HF outcomes is warranted.

 

 

Admittedly, many of these medical conditions may well have been brought on by the patient’s obesity to start with, so none of these results should be construed as a green light for binge eating brownies.

 

As to why obese individuals may fare better with certain medical conditions that those of normal, or below normal, weight?  

 

There are plenty of theories.

 

  • It has been suggested that heavier patients may develop medical conditions earlier, may get more aggressive treatment, and thereby have a survival advantage.
  • Some theorize that hospitalizations and chronic illnesses – which often induce weight loss - put those without fat reserves at a disadvantage.
  • There is even speculation that adipose tissue may secrete protective cytokines and hormones (cite).

 

The truth is, no one really knows.

 

Finally, in 2005 epidemiologist Katherine Flegal published a study called Excess deaths associated with underweight, overweight, and obesity that looked at data from two decades of NHANES surveys, and found that mortality among those slightly overweight (BMI 25 -29) was less than those in the `normal’ weight category (BMI 20 -25).

 

This study found that it was really the extremes of being over or underweight that contributed to higher mortality.

 

Personally, I’m not sure what conclusions we can draw from all of this, but it is certainly food for thought.