Showing posts with label Oil Spill. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Oil Spill. Show all posts

Friday, July 23, 2010

Bonnie Takes Aim At The Northern Gulf

 


# 4748

 

 

Bonnie is a minimal Tropical Storm this morning, and probably won’t intensify much (if any) before impacting Southern Florida and the Keys.

 

Tropical storm conditions are expected to spread across these areas later today as the center either crosses the lower part of the state or shoots the Florida Straits.  Either way, the system should be in the Gulf of Mexico tonight.

 

The models remain in pretty good agreement, although they have been shifting a bit eastward over the past 12 hours.  It appears that the northern Gulf Coast will be next on Bonnie’s hit parade.

 

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Although conditions aren’t ideal for intensification, Bonnie will be traveling over very warm Gulf waters starting later tonight, and so interests in her path should take this seriously.

 

Those who have not made their hurricane preparations should do so now.

 

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As of 5am this morning tropical storm watches are now posted on the gulf coast from Morgan City, La to Destin, Fl.

 

The National Hurricane Center’s 5am Discussion has the following forecast for position and strength.

 

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Forecasters are giving Bonnie only about 1 chance in 10 of reaching hurricane strength before making landfall -probably in the wee hours on Sunday.

 

The biggest impact of this storm may well be its effect on the oil spill cleanup and recovery from the Deep Water Horizon disaster.

 

As always, you should rely on the NHC and local weather statements when a tropical storm threatens.   Recent local advisories for areas likely to be affected include:

 

Hurricane Local Statements for BONNIE

These statements are also available at weather.gov

Page last modified: Friday, 23-Jul-2010 09:32:19 GMT

Mobile, AL / Pensacola, FL   431 AM CDT FRI JUL 23

Tampa Bay Area, FL             316 AM EDT FRI JUL 23

Key West, FL                      232 AM EDT FRI JUL 23

Miami, FL                           1230 AM EDT FRI JUL 23

Tuesday, June 22, 2010

A Serving Of Spaghetti

 


# 4667

 

 

Although it isn’t even a tropical depression (yet) - and it may fail to intensify -  watchful eyes in the Gulf of Mexico are understandably trained on an area of disturbed weather south of Haiti/Domician Republic that has the potential to grow into a tropical storm.

 

With the oil spill cleanup ongoing in the Gulf, any storm threat is seen as a potentially serious complicating factor.

 

Since we are just three weeks into what is expected to be an active hurricane season, we need to get used to this drill.  We are likely to see it repeated it many times over the next few months.

 

This morning’s computer runs track this area of disturbed weather generally towards the Gulf of Mexico, and conditions are somewhat favorable for slow intensification. 

 

Below you’ll find the `spaghetti model’ for this system.  As you can see, right now there is a good deal of variance in the forecast track.

 

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Invest 93L  22-Jun 08:06 EDT    sfwmd.gov

 

A couple of important points are in order.  

 

First, assuming this system does become a depression or a tropical storm, it must either thread the needle between Yucatan and the western tip of Cuba, or cross over land before entering the Gulf.

And second, model runs when a system remains unorganized are notoriously error prone.  Once a decent LLC (Low Level Circulation) is established, these models become more reliable.

 

 

That said, Bloomberg News is reporting this story this morning.

 

Tropical Storm May Pose Threat to BP Spill Cleanup

By Stuart Biggs and Jeremy van Loon - Jun 22, 2010

The first storm of the Atlantic hurricane season may enter the Gulf of Mexico as soon as next week, possibly disrupting BP Plc’s efforts to clean up the worst oil spill in U.S. history.

 

Thunderstorms in the Caribbean may strengthen into a tropical storm this week before heading into the Gulf between Mexico and Cuba, said Jim Rouiller, a senior energy meteorologist at Planalytics Inc. in Berwyn, Pennsylvania.

(Continue . . .)

 

For now the National Hurricane Center is giving this system about a 40% chance of developing over the next 48 hours.   

 

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ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE JUN 22 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AND THE ADJACENT LAND AREAS.  UPPER-LEVELWINDS APPEAR TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT ... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...HAITI...AND JAMAICA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.

THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

 


While it is early in the season, it isn’t too soon to see a storm develop, and climatologically, the western Caribbean is where we would be looking right now.

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Typical June Pattern

 

Whether this storm develops or not, it is a reminder that it isn’t too early for Gulf and Atlantic Coast residents to be preparing for this hurricane season.

 

Last week was National Hurricane Preparedness week, and during the month of May this blog devoted considerable time to the subject. 

 

Some essential hurricane resources to get you started include:

 

http://www.fema.gov/hazard/hurricane/index.shtm

http://www.ready.gov/america/beinformed/hurricanes.html

You may wish to revisit my blog entitled Hurricane Resources On The Net for links to storm resources online.

Sunday, June 20, 2010

Referral: The Pump Handle On Respirators In The Gulf

 

 

# 4664

 

 

The Pump Handle bills itself as a `water cooler for the public health crowd’, a place where experts (and interested observers) can meet and converse on subjects relating to public health.  

 

If you aren’t a regular visitor, you should be.

 

Of late, they’ve devoted considerable time to the Gulf of Mexico oil spill, and the potential long and short term health effects that the oil, tar, and dispersant might cause – and ways to mitigate them.

 

Their latest post by Eileen Senn, MS  addresses respirator policy (or a lack thereof) for oil cleanup crews working in the Gulf.

 

 

An Inconvenient Truth - Respirators Needed in the Gulf Cleanup

Category: BP • Chemicals Policy • OSHA • Occupational Health & Safety

by Eileen Senn, MS

It seems obvious to many that respirators are needed to protect cleanup workers in the Gulf from inhaling air contaminants that are making some sick now and may make many more chronically ill in the future. I will describe a combination of political and scientific issues conspiring to prevent the needed respirators from being provided.

(Continue . . . )

Wednesday, June 16, 2010

When The Oil Spill Cleanup Goes TILT

 

 

 

# 4650

 

 

T.I.L.T. or Toxicant Induced Loss of Tolerance is a disease theory that may help explain a wide spectrum of illnesses that are characterized by environmental and chemical sensitivities.

 

TILT reportedly occurs after a susceptible person is exposed to a toxicant (chemical, pesiticide, etc) and develops an intolerance of certain chemicals, odors, and even some foods.  

 

Victims may also experience `flu-like’ symptoms at the time of exposure, including headaches, joint pains, cough, respiratory problems, and cognitive difficulties.

 

The idea has been long championed by Dr. Claudia S. Miller, an allergist and immunologist who is a tenured Professor of Occupational and Environmental Medicine at the University of Texas Medical School in San Antonio. 

 

Toxicant-induced Loss of Tolerance-An emerging theory of disease? Miller CS. Environ Health Perspect 1997 Mar;105 S:445-453.

 

Empirical approaches for the investigation of toxicant-induced loss of tolerance Miller CS, Ashford NA, Doty R, Lamielle M, Otto D, Rahill A, Wallace L. Environmental Health Perspectives 1997 Mar;105(2):515-519.

 

TILT,  or variants such as MCS (Multiple Chemical Sensitivities) or EI (Environmental Illness), are poorly understood syndromes and remain controversial among many doctors. 

 

The EPA (Environmental Protection Agency) defines MCS this way:

 

MULTIPLE CHEMICAL SENSITIVITY (MCS): A condition in which a person reports sensitivity or intolerance (as distinct from "allergic") to a number of chemicals and other irritants at very low concentrations. There are different views among medical professionals about the existence, causes, diagnosis, and treatment of this condition.

 

In other words, we are entering a gray area of medical science where a consensus on the validity and cause of these acquired sensitivities has not been established.

 

That, of course, does not invalidate the legitimacy of the issue.  But it does interject an element of uncertainty.

 

Which brings us to several reports in the media over the last few days of oil spill workers suffering from what is being described as TILT.

 

 

Mysterious illness plagues Gulf oil disaster workers

SAN ANTONIO -- For weeks now, local hospitals have tracked patients with suspicious symptoms coming in from the gulf coast. Doctors are having trouble distinguishing it from the flu.

 

"What makes it challenging is that patients show up with non-specific symptoms. Headaches, fatigue, problems with memory and concentration, upset stomach," lists Dr. Claudia Miller at UT Health Science Center.

 

The illness is called "TILT," or Toxicant-Induced Loss of Tolerance. Patients lose tolerance to household products, medication, or even food after being exposed to chemicals, like burning oil, toxic fumes, or dispersants from the spill.

(Continue . . . )

 

 

A similar article, along with a WOAI news interview with Dr. Miller, appeared in yesterday’s Huffington Post:

 

Gulf Coast Oil Spill Workers Falling Ill With TILT (VIDEO)

 

And last night Keith Olbermann on MSNBC spent 5 minutes discussing TILT and the oil spill, the video is on Youtube  and may be viewed here.

 

 

 

While the real risks of exposure to the oil, tar, and dispersants being released in the Gulf of Mexico remain unknown, concerns over the safety of cleanup workers and impacted coastal residents are understandably high.

 

After all, it was just last week that a Federal Judge approved a $712 million dollar settlement to compensate the first responders and cleanup workers at ground zero after 9/11, who suffered serious illness and injury due to toxic exposures.

 

Exposures that, at the time, many officials dismissed as not being a serious health concern.

 


Historically, wars and pandemics have been credited with spurring advances in our medical knowledge. 

 

Our modern EMS system (of which I was a part many years ago) and the creation of regional trauma centers came out of the Vietnam and Korean war combat medic experience.


We are seeing unprecedented research into influenza and other infectious diseases today, largely because the pandemic threat was made real and palpable by the emergence of H5N1 a dozen years ago.

 

It may be that environmental medicine will make similar leaps over the next few years due to what we learn from this oil spill in the Gulf. 

 

Theories on TILT, MCS, and other toxic exposure concerns - as well as treatments - may well be validated or eventually disproven.

 

A small silver lining, perhaps. 

 

But one that - like from wars and pandemics - comes at a terrible cost.

Wednesday, June 09, 2010

The CDC’s Oil Spill Response Page

 



# 4635

 

As crude oil and tar balls continue to wash ashore along the Gulf Coast, an increasing number of people will find themselves directly impacted by the Deepwater Horizon disaster.   

 

Accordingly, the CDC has created a 2010 Gulf of Mexico Oil Spill page with information for the general public and those working to clean up this environmental catastrophe.

 

 

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(click image to view site)

 

CDCEmergency on Twitter has also been sending out tweets regarding oil spill safety information.   A couple of examples from yesterday include:

 

  • Wash skin ASAP if contact w/ oil or tar balls from #oilspill occurs. If you develop a rash, see a health care provider. http://is.gd/cHsMV  via web Retweeted by you and 100+ others

 

 

With 1.2 million followers (people who have signed up to receive the CDC’s tweets), and more than 100 Retweets (people who have passed the message on to their followers), this message is obviously getting out to a lot of people.

 

If you are on Twitter, you may wish to start following CDCEmergency as well.  

 

Having been in the midst of a significant (but minor in comparison) oil spill while living aboard my boat in 1993 (see Florida Deepwater Horizon FAQ & Resources), I’m at least partially aware of what those in the path of this black tide have in store over the summer.

 

While there are some unanswered questions regarding the health effects of extended exposure to crude oil, volatile hydrocarbons, and the dispersants being used by the cleanup crews (The Pump Handle has been covering these issues, including here, and here) – the CDC has put together a guide based on what they know right now.

 

Given that individual responses to exposure will vary (some may tolerate it less well than others), and other unknowns, the best course of action is to avoid or limit exposure to these these contaminants as much as possible.

 

Here is the CDC’s general advice page.

 

 

What to Expect from the Oil Spill and How to Protect Your Health

People can be exposed to hazardous substances related to the spill by breathing them (air), by swallowing them (food, water), or by touching them (skin). People should avoid close contact to the spill and fumes from any burning oil.

Air Quality:
  • Smell: People may be able to smell the oil spill from the shore. The odor comes from chemicals in the oil that people can smell at levels well below those that would make most people sick. However, exposure to low levels of these chemicals may cause irritation of the eyes, nose, throat, and skin. People with asthma or other lung diseases may be more sensitive to these effects.
  • Burning oil: When responders burn some of the oil, some “Particulate Matter” (PM) may reach the shore. PM is a mix of very small particles and liquid droplets found in the air. PM may pose a greater risk for people who have a chronic condition such as asthma or heart disease.

If you smell gas or see smoke or know that fires are nearby, stay indoors, set your air conditioner to reuse indoor air, and avoid physical activities that put extra demands on your lungs and heart.

Food:

The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) are monitoring the oil spill and its potential impact on the safety of seafood harvested from the area. Although crude oil has the potential to taint seafood with flavors and odors caused by exposure to hydrocarbon chemicals, the public should not be concerned about the safety of seafood in the stores at this time. For more information about seafood and the oil spill, visit http://www.fda.gov/Food/ucm210436.htm.

Water:

Drinking water and household water are not expected to be affected by the spill. However, water used for recreation may be affected. Swimming in water contaminated with chemicals from the oil spill could cause health effects. For more information about water and the oil spill, visit http://www.cdc.gov/nceh/oil_spill/information_residents.htm#5.

Follow local and state public health guidelines and warnings about the use of beaches and coastal water for swimming, boating, and fishing. For more information about beach safety, visit http://www.deepwaterhorizonresponse.com/go/doc/2931/542551/.

Dispersants:

Oil spill dispersants break an oil slick into small drops. For most people, brief contact with a small amount of oil spill dispersants will do no harm. However, longer contact can cause a rash and dry skin. Dispersants can also irritate your eyes. Breathing or swallowing dispersants can also cause health effects.

If you are concerned that you have been exposed to oil or dispersants, see your doctor. Health care providers can find more information on CDC’s oil spill web site at http://emergency.cdc.gov/gulfoilspill2010.

Monday, May 31, 2010

When Oil and Water Do Mix

 


 

# 4610

 

 

I’ve seen a good deal of speculation in recent days about the impact that the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico may have on Hurricane season (and vice versa), and so I thought I’d post this two page guide produced by NOAA on the likely effects.

 

It seems highly unlikely to most experts that the oil spill will affect hurricane development this year.  

 

Less certain are the effects that gulf storms will have on the oil spill itself.  

 

They may help mix and `weather’ the oil, increasing the rate of biodegradation. But the winds (and surge tide) could also spread the oil further inland, particularly into the marsh and swamplands, complicating cleanup.

 

My thanks and a hat tip to FEMA Director Craig Fugate for tweeting this information on Twitter. Follow Craig at CraigatFEMA and of course, FEMAinfocus  for the latest disaster updates.

 

 

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(click to open)

Wednesday, May 26, 2010

Live Video Of `Top Kill’ Attempt

 

 

# 4596

 

 


For a time yesterday, it looked like BP would shut down the live video feed from a mile deep in the Gulf of Mexico of the attempt to cap the blown out Deepwater Horizon rig.  

 

Last night, reportedly under pressure from the government, BP agreed to leave the feeds in place.

 

In the event you already don’t know how to access these live video streams, I’ve a few urls for you.   Demand is likely to be heavy during this attempt to shut down the well (which may take 48 hours), so having a `plan B’ site to watch it on is probably a good idea.

 

 

CBS News, broadcasting on USTREAM, has a very good feed.

 

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TheState.com has  a live video feed on this page.

 

CNN has streaming video along with other oil spill related video reports here.

 

And BP has their own video feed  here.

 

Obviously the stakes here are very high.  BP only gives a 60%-70% chance of success.    

 

For more information on the Deepwater Horizon response you may wish to visit the official site of the Deepwater Horizon Response Unified Command.

 

For other resources, visit Florida Deepwater Horizon FAQ & Resources

Monday, May 10, 2010

Florida Deepwater Horizon FAQ & Resources

 



# 4558

 

 

In 1993, while living aboard my 36 foot sailboat Island Time on St. Pete Beach, my (now ex) wife and I learned first hand what a serious oil spill can mean to the environment and to those living along the shore.   

 

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Just after dawn on August 10th three vessels collided at the entrance to Tampa bay, spilling 300,000 gallons of heavy crude and another 33,000 gallons of jet fuel.    The fire aboard one of the barges took more than 16 hours to extinguish.


Despite the good fortune of offshore winds keeping the mess away from the beaches for the first 4 days (giving response teams some badly needed time to assemble and react), 13 miles of white sand beaches (and hundreds of boats) were befouled by a nauseating slick of tars and oil.  

 

Those of us who lived on the water and had to breath the noxious fumes day after day, help rescue oil soaked birds, and continually worked to rid our boat’s waterlines of this staining mixture remember this event with great sadness. 

 

But Tampa Bay was lucky. 

 


The spill occurred just outside the entrance to the bay, and while it washed up on the white sand beaches of Pinellas County, at least it didn’t make it inside the bay, where environmentally sensitive mangroves and fertile underwater grasslands could have been destroyed.

 

Today, residents of the Gulf coast from Texas to the Florida Keys are watching anxiously as the drama of the blown out Deepwater Horizon Rig plays out 50 miles off the Louisiana coastline.  

 

Thus far, the lower estimates of oil spilled are 10 times greater than the Tampa Bay incident, and growing with each passing day. 

 

Over the weekend a risky plan to drop a `containment vessel’ over the top of one of the leaks ran into serious difficulties, and engineers are now trying to come up with better options.

 

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The State of Florida, while not yet feeling the direct effects of this environmental disaster, has designated the Department of Environmental Protection (DEP) as the lead agency to handle the response.

 

Their Deepwater Horizon Webpage has the latest information, and is updated daily.

 

Here, for example, is the latest spill trajectory forecast for 1800 hrs CDT, today.

 

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The Florida Department of Health has released a FAQ (Frequently Asked Questions) document on the health impact of crude oil, which you may download as a 2-Page PDF file HERE. 

 

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A hat tip to Pathfinder on FluTrackers for this link.

 

 

For more information you may wish to visit the official site of the Deepwater Horizon Response Unified Command.

 

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