Friday, April 03, 2026

Taiwan CDC Update: Novel H7 Infection Identified as H7N7

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#19,106

We've an update this morning from Taiwan's CDC on yesterday's report (see Taiwan CDC: Human Infection with a Novel H7 Avian Virus) which identifies the novel virus as LPAI H7N7 and announces the recovery and discharge from the hospital of the patient. 

While this appears to be an isolated incident, this is a reminder that nature's laboratory is open 24/7, and new threats can emerge at any time.

Today's (translated) announcment follows:


The first locally transmitted case of H7 novel influenza A in China, whose sputum gene sequencing results identified H7N7, has been released from isolation today and is recovering at home.
 
Release Date: 2026-04-03

The Taiwan Centers for Disease Control (CDC) announced today (April 3) that the first case of local human infection with the H7 subtype of novel influenza A, which was detected recently, has been cured and discharged from isolation today after clinical treatment. The patient's condition has continued to improve and all tests have been negative. The patient will continue to be monitored until April 6.

The Taiwan Centers for Disease Control (CDC) stated that the sputum sample collected from the case on March 27th was genetically sequenced to identify the virus as H7N7, a low-pathogenic avian influenza virus (LPAI). No drug-resistant mutations were found, and the virus remains sensitive to antiviral drugs; the public need not panic. The CDC also today, in accordance with the International Health Regulations (IHR), notified the World Health Organization of this first locally acquired H7N7 influenza case through the IHR contact window.

The Taiwan Centers for Disease Control (CDC) explained that since 1959, more than 90 human cases of H7N7 have been reported globally, concentrated before 2003, mainly in Europe. Of these, only one case resulted in death, and the vast majority were mild cases of conjunctivitis. Subsequently, Italy reported three cases in 2013, also mild cases of conjunctivitis. No new human cases have been reported since 2013, but the virus continues to spread and evolve in birds.
The genetic analysis of the first H7 case in Taiwan showed that it was significantly different from the H7 cases in European human cases 10-20 years ago, and most similar to the H7 cases detected in wild birds in Taiwan over the years. No mutations related to enhanced bird-to-human transmission were found, and it is judged to be an isolated event with manageable risks.

The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) reiterates its reminder that workers in the poultry and livestock industries should adhere to disease prevention guidelines, including wearing protective equipment and proper disinfection after handling. If respiratory or eye symptoms develop, seek medical attention immediately and inform the animal contact history. The public should also follow the "5 Dos and 6 Don'ts" principle to avoid contact with or purchase poultry and livestock products from unknown sources, jointly safeguarding public health and safety. More information can be found on the CDC website (https://www.cdc.gov.tw/) or by calling the disease prevention hotline 1922. 

Eurosurveillance: Influenza Vaccination Attenuates Acute Myocardial Infarction and Stroke Risk Following Influenza Infection


#19,105

Ask almost any paramedic, ER doctor, or ICU nurse and they will tell you that heart attacks and strokes are more common in the winter. So much so, that these events are commonly called `Christmas Coronaries’ or `Holiday Heart Attacks’.

In 1998, a study looked at the rate of heart attacks in the United States (see Seasonal distribution of acute myocardial infarction in the second National Registry of Myocardial Infarction), and found that Acute Myocardial Infarctions (AMIs) ran as much 53% higher during the winter months than during the summer.

While cold weather combined with strenuous physical activity (like clearing snow from sidewalks) has often been blamed for this spike, even in balmy Southern California, studies have shown a 33% increase in heart attacks over the holidays (see When Throughout the Year Is Coronary Death Most Likely to Occur?).

Admittedly, non-climate related factors – like overindulgence in food and drink - combined with holiday stressors like shopping, running up debt, traveling, meal preparation, and the angst that comes from dysfunctional family gatherings are all plausible contributors to this yearly spike.

But over the past 15 years studies have increasingly linked this seasonal increase in heart attacks and strokes to acute influenza and respiratory infections. A few (of many) studies include:
PloS One: Early Risk of Acute Myocardial Infarction Following Hospitalization for Severe Influenza

JAHA: Another Study Linking ILI To Increased Risk Of Heart Attack & Stroke

PLoS One: Transient Depression of Myocardial Function After Influenza Virus Infection

NEJM: Acute Myocardial Infarction After Laboratory-Confirmed Influenza Infection

Eur. Resp.J.: Influenza & Pneumonia Infections Increase Risk Of Heart Attack and Stroke
At the same time, we've seen growing evidence that the uptake of the seasonal flu vaccine may reduce the incidence of heart attack and stroke, even if the vaccine doesn't prevent influenza infection.




All of which brings us to a new study, published yesterday in Eurosurveillance, which seeks to confirm and expand upon these earlier findings using Danish national health records from across the 2014-2025 influenza seasons.
They found that people (age 40+) with a confirmed flu infection were more likely to be hospitalized for a heart attack or stroke in the first 7 days after testing positive. The risk was highest in the first 3 days, and returned to normal after 2 weeks. 
Intriguingly, they found the short-term risk was reduced by about 50% among those with a positive influenza test, but vaccinated.  

Today's study is quite detailed, and many will want to read it in its entirety. I've only reproduced the link, and summary, followed by a link to an accompanying editorial. 

I'll return with a brief postscript about an unexpected finding after the break.  

Influenza vaccination attenuates acute myocardial infarction and stroke risk following influenza infection: a register-based, self-controlled case series study, Denmark, 2014 to 2025  
Roberto Croci1,2,* , Johanna J Young2,* , Hanne-Dorthe Emborg2 , Palle Valentiner-Branth2 , Steen Ethelberg2,3 , Christian Holm Hansen

What did you want to address in this study and why?

Catching influenza increases the short-term risk of heart attack and stroke. Influenza vaccination has been shown to reduce this risk by preventing infection, but it is unclear whether it also offers protection among people who become infected despite vaccination. We wanted to quantify how much more at risk of heart attack and stroke adults in Denmark are shortly after catching influenza, and to assess if prior vaccination can attenuate this risk.

What have we learnt from this study?


In adults 40 years or older in Denmark, hospital admissions for heart attack and stroke were more frequent in the first week after testing positive for influenza than during any other period in the year before and after their test, almost threefold for stroke and fivefold for heart attack. This increased risk was about half as high among people who tested positive for influenza but had received the influenza vaccine that season.

What are the implications of your findings for public health?

Influenza vaccination may offer cardiovascular protection even in instances when it does not prevent infection. If confirmed by additional studies in other settings, this would strengthen the case for prioritising influenza vaccination among people at risk of heart disease or stroke and would support refining recommendations across Europe.

       (SNIP)

      Conclusions
Our findings add to the evidence that influenza vaccination confers cardiovascular protection. In this study, prior vaccination halved the excess risk of acute myocardial infarction or stroke following breakthrough influenza infection. These results strengthen the case for prioritising influenza vaccination in high-risk groups. Highlighting the dual protection offered by vaccination, against both infection and its cardiovascular complications, could have a substantial public health impact. Factoring this into economic and burden analysis might improve the cost-effectiveness profile of vaccination programmes.

       (Continue . . . )


        Editorial
Does influenza vaccination protect people with breakthrough infections from acute cardiovascular events?
Jeffrey C Kwong


Of note, the authors of this study used a (bacterial, non-respiratory) laboratory-confirmed Campylobacter spp. infection as a negative control group, and found a similar increase in cardiac risk to influenza infection.   

Unlike with influenza, previous flu vaccination showed no attenuating effect. 

They wrote:

Unexpectedly, infection with  spp., a food-borne, non-respiratory bacterial pathogen, was associated with a threefold increase in acute cardiovascular events.

One explanation may be that any infection severe enough to warrant microbiological testing can result in proinflammatory events. Alternatively, unmeasured respiratory co-infections might have determined the risk increase, at least in part.

Meta-analyses have shown that respiratory pathogens other than influenza can trigger acute cardiovascular events [24]. Research should clarify whether this is true for non-respiratory pathogens as well. Importantly, the absence of effect modification by influenza vaccination in our -negative exposure analysis reinforces that the observed risk attenuation after influenza infection is exposure-specific. 

While cardiac complications have been reported following Campylobacter infection (see Review of Campylobacter Species Related Cardiac Disease), today's findings suggest this may be more common than previously believed.

Although the current flu vaccine is nowhere near as effective as we'd like it to be, and the promise of a universal flu vaccine remains elusive (see J.I.D.: NIAID's Strategic Plan To Develop A Universal Flu Vaccine), we continue to see evidence that the benefits of vaccination may extend beyond simply reducing the risk of influenza infection. 

Which is why I'll be rolling up my sleeve this fall for both the Flu and COVID vaccines. Because at my age - and in my physical condition - I can use all the advantages I can get. 

Thursday, April 02, 2026

Taiwan CDC: Human Infection with a Novel H7 Avian Virus

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 #19,104

This morning we've an understandably lengthy, and detailed, (translated) report on Taiwan's first detection of a locally acquired human H7 LPAI infection in a poultry farmer.  

This is, according to this early account, due to a Eurasian H7 virus, and is not related to the H7N9 virus which swept China during the last decade (2013-2018). 

For now, it appears that only the HA (H7) has been identified, with additional tests pending. Throughout most of this press release the virus is referred to as a novel H7 and described as  `. . . a low-pathogenic avian influenza virus, without any mutations increasing the risk of avian-to-human transmission', although it is unclear how much of the genome has been characterized.

Note: in the google translation (below), at one point, the virus is referred to as H7N9, but a second translation (Bing) showed only H7. Pending further information, I suspect this was a translation glitch.

The patient (a man in his 70s) was hospitalized with fever and pneumonia on March 22nd, and remains hospitalized and in isolation, although his condition is said to be improving.  The CDC reports:

Currently, 33 close contacts are under health monitoring and management, and 3 have been given preventative medication based on risk assessment. Tests were conducted on 6 family members, all of whom tested negative.

While the patient raises poultry, none of his birds have tested positive for the H7 virus.  Movement of his birds has been halted, however, and agricultural authorities are now expanding their testing to nearby farms. 

The source of this man's infection remains under investigation.

First, the full press release, after which I'll have a bit more on past human H7 infections around the globe.

The first locally transmitted case of novel H7 influenza A has been detected in China. The agricultural and health departments have launched a joint prevention and control operation, collaborating on investigation and prevention.


Release Date: 2026-04-02

The Taiwan Centers for Disease Control (CDC) announced today (March 2nd) the first locally transmitted case of novel H7 subtype avian influenza in Taiwan. The patient is a man in his 70s from central Taiwan who works in poultry farming and has a history of chronic illness. He developed symptoms of runny nose, cough, and body aches on March 20th and sought medical attention at a hospital on March 22nd due to fever. He was admitted to the hospital on the same day.

Imaging examination revealed pneumonia. Based on clinical symptoms, test results, and the patient's contact history, the doctor reported the case as a novel H7 avian influenza and administered antiviral medication. Further testing and gene sequencing by the CDC confirmed the virus as H7 subtype avian influenza. Sequence analysis showed that this H7 belongs to the Eurasian lineage and is similar to the H7 subtype avian influenza viruses monitored in wild birds (mainly ducks and anadidae) in Taiwan over the years. 

However, it is different from the H7N9 subtype avian influenza virus that circulated in mainland China from 2013 to 2019, and is a low-pathogenic avian influenza virus. This morning, the CDC convened a meeting with agricultural authorities and relevant medical and veterinary experts to discuss the case and, based on the test results, confirmed it as a case of novel H7 avian influenza in humans. The patient's condition has improved and they are continuing isolation and treatment. 
The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) stated that after the first locally transmitted case of H7 subtype novel influenza A was detected in Taiwan, health and agricultural authorities immediately launched a joint epidemic prevention operation to carry out relevant investigations and prevention measures. Health authorities, with the assistance of epidemiologists and the Health Bureau, conducted on-site epidemiological investigations at the patient's residence, poultry farm, and hospital. Currently, 33 close contacts are under health monitoring and management, and 3 have been given preventative medication based on risk assessment. Tests were conducted on 6 family members, all of whom tested negative. 

Agricultural authorities immediately implemented movement restrictions at the poultry farm, and animal testing results were negative for avian influenza virus. To clarify the source of infection, today's expert meeting resolved to request the farm to expand testing at nearby poultry farms and to cooperate with wild bird associations to collect droppings from surrounding wild birds. Furthermore, the CDC will continue to cooperate with the farm to obtain the gene sequence of the H7 virus detected in Taiwan for further comparison. Health and agricultural authorities will continue to strengthen surveillance of humans and animals, including respiratory viruses and influenza/novel coronavirus pneumonia surveillance in medical institutions, active surveillance of poultry farms and migratory birds, and will cooperate with farmers to promote personal protective measures for poultry farmers and public health education. They have also contacted duck farming associations to distribute 40,000-50,000 masks free of charge to duck farmers. The

Centers for Disease Control (CDC) pointed out that, based on current epidemiological investigations and test results, the genetic analysis of this case shows a low-pathogenic avian influenza virus, without any mutations increasing the risk of avian-to-human transmission, and it remains a common avian virus. The initial assessment is that this case is an isolated incident.

Considering the patient's improved condition after treatment, the lack of mutations increasing the risk of avian-to-human transmission in the preliminary genetic analysis, the negative test results at the poultry farm, and the absence of any other family members showing symptoms after the patient's onset, the risk is assessed as controllable, and there is no immediate risk of the outbreak expanding.

 However, to understand the potential risks of this case, they will continue to track the symptoms and test results of contacts, further analyze the virus and trace possible sources of infection, and have activated a joint working group on the risk assessment of zoonotic infectious diseases between agriculture and health authorities to conduct a comprehensive risk assessment. The Taiwan Centers for Disease Control (CDC) will notify the World Health Organization (WHO) today through the IHR contact window in accordance with the International Health Regulations (IHR).

According to surveillance data, since the novel influenza A virus was classified as a Category 5 notifiable infectious disease in Taiwan in 2014, a total of 5 sporadic cases have been reported. Besides this case, the others were reported in 2017 (H7N9, imported from outside China), 2021 (H1N2v), 2022 (H1N2v), and 2023 (H1N2v). In addition, there were 4 confirmed cases of H7N9 imported from outside China in 2013-2014; none of the contacts were infected.

The CDC explained that the H7N9 sequence in today's reported case is only closely related to one other human case, H7N4, reported in Jiangsu, China in 2018. The case involves a 68-year-old woman with a history of coronary heart disease and hypertension. She developed symptoms such as cough, weakness, and muscle aches on December 25, 2017, and was hospitalized for pneumonia on January 1, 2018, and discharged on January 22 after recovery. Prior to the onset of illness, the patient had contact with live poultry. Her close contacts did not develop any suspected symptoms during the observation period. The virus remains avian and has not shown resistance to existing antiviral drugs.

The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) reminds workers involved in poultry and livestock farming to implement self-protection measures during operations and to conduct thorough disinfection after work to reduce the risk of infection with the novel influenza A. If symptoms of acute respiratory infection or conjunctivitis appear, seek medical attention immediately and proactively inform healthcare professionals of your occupational history of contact with animals to facilitate early diagnosis. The public is advised to implement the "5 Dos and 6 Don'ts" epidemic prevention principles in daily life:

"5 Dos"
: Cook meat and eggs thoroughly with soap; wash hands thoroughly with soap; if symptoms appear, wear a mask, seek medical attention immediately, and inform the doctor of your occupation and contact history; those who have long-term contact with poultry and livestock should get vaccinated against influenza; maintain a balanced diet and exercise appropriately.

"6 Don'ts": Don't eat raw poultry, eggs, or poultry products; don't smuggle or buy meat of unknown origin; don't touch or feed poultry and livestock; don't release or discard poultry and livestock indiscriminately; don't mix poultry and livestock with other poultry and livestock; and don't go to places with poor air circulation or crowded places.

For related information, please visit the Taiwan Centers for Disease Control website (https://www.cdc.gov.tw/) or call the toll-free epidemic prevention hotline 1922 (or 0800-001922).

Based on the available information, this spillover is being described as an `isolated incident', but as we've seen in the past, H7 viruses have shown some ability to spark larger outbreaks in humans. 
NYC's 2016 dramatic H7N2 outbreak in hundreds of cats, and spillover into animal shelter workers (see J Infect Dis: Serological Evidence Of H7N2 Infection Among Animal Shelter Workers, NYC 2016) - and a 2018 report of a severe H7N4 infection out of China - further illustrate the risks.

Hopefully we'll get more details on this latest case over the next few days.

Stay tuned. 

Wednesday, April 01, 2026

Vietnam: 300 Tons of ASF Contaminated Pork Sold At Markets & to Schools

 

How ASF Spreads

#19,103

In the 2 years prior to COVID's arrival, ASF (African Swine Fever) swept through China, and spilled over into other Asian countries, killing hundreds of millions of pigs (see African Swine Fever In China: Epizootic or An EpicZootic?).

While ASF doesn't pose a direct threat to human health, over the past decade it has killed somewhere between 1/3rd and 1/2 of the world's swine and poses a constant threat to spread to unaffected regions, including the United States and Canada (see USDA Enhances Domestic ASF Surveillance Efforts).

Although African Swine Fever can be transmitted directly from pig-to-pig, and can be carried by certain types of ticks, in many cases the virus has been spread by the movement of contaminated food products, animal feed or bedding, or other products to uninfected regions.

Six weeks ago, in South Korea: MAFRA Detects ASF DNA in Pig Feed Additive as Outbreaks Increase (n=18), we saw the impact of contaminated pig feed in South Korea. 
 
Over the past few years we've seen numerous reports (see here, here, here, and here) on the confiscation ASF-positive food products (see photo below) carried by travelers coming from endemic regions, at ports of entry in Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, and Australia.

The illegal importation of food products also happens at a much larger scale, as we saw in March of 2019 in USDA Statement On Seizure Of 1 Million Pounds Of Smuggled Chinese Pork.

The most recent FAO report (March 19th, 2006) shows the spread of ASF across Asia (note: China rarely reports outbreaks, despite many anecdotal reports).


The FAO's most recent update on Vietnam reads:
Viet Nam: Since the first ASF outbreak was confirmed on 19 February 2019, all provinces/municipalities have experienced outbreaks. The number of outbreaks has decreased from >6 000 outbreaks (2019) to 1 256 (2022) [reference1, reference2], and 714 in 2023 [reference3], but increased to 1 609 in 2024 [reference4]. In 2025, a total of 2 782 outbreaks have been confirmed.
Nationwide, over 1.27 million pigs have been culled, which represents more than 13-fold increase in 2025 compared to 2024. The peak of outbreaks occurred in July and August, primarily affecting small-scale farms that failed to meet biosecurity standards [reference5]. In 2026, as of 12 March, 261 outbreaks have been reported in 24 provinces/municipalities, leading to the destruction of over 14 700 pigs [reference6].
But this reflects only what is officially reported.  

Last January, it was widely reported that 120 tons of contaminated pork was about to be canned and shipped to supermarkets in Vietnam (see Supermarkets pull Ha Long canned pork after diseased meat discovery).
  • Hai Phong City Police dismantled a criminal network that collected 120–130 tons of pork infected with African swine fever (ASF) and smuggled it into the Hạ Long Canned Food Joint Stock Company warehouse between mid-2025 and early January 2026.
  • Approximately two tons of infected meat had been processed, deboned, and canned into finished products bearing the company's label before authorities intervened on 07 Jan 2026.

Today, Hanoi's Police has announced the arrest of 8 individuals (including meat inspectors) who supplied another 300 tons of contaminated pork to markets, with some ending up in school cafeterias. The (translated) official report reads:

Previously, on March 17, 2026, the Economic Police Department of Hanoi City Police conducted an inspection of pig slaughtering operations at the slaughterhouse owned by Nguyen Thi Hien (born in 1995; residing in Ngoc Hoi, Hanoi) within the Van Phuc centralized livestock slaughtering facility (Hamlet 3, Nam Phu Commune, Hanoi City). This slaughterhouse supplies a large quantity of pork primarily to wholesale markets, local markets, and major food supply companies in the city.

The inspection revealed that Nguyen Thi Hien had slaughtered pigs infected with African swine fever. Hien and several other individuals colluded closely, forming a closed network from collecting diseased pigs in provinces such as Phu Tho and Tuyen Quang, transporting them to Hanoi, slaughtering them centrally, and distributing them to the market. In addition, the individuals conspired with some quarantine officials to bypass mandatory inspections, allowing diseased and even dead pigs to be slaughtered.

From the beginning of 2026 until now, the individuals involved have consumed approximately 3,600 pigs infected with the disease (equivalent to nearly 300 tons). This meat was distributed to wholesale markets, local markets, and sold to Cuong Phat Food Co., Ltd. This company then supplied food to several schools in Hanoi.

        (Continue . . . )

While it is possible that ASF infected (and uninspected) pigs may carry other diseases/parasites that could sicken humans, the big danger here is that the virus is easily spread through the sale and transport of contaminated pork products. 

In 2018 the FAO described ASF as:
A robust virus with a long life: The ASF virus is very hardy and can survive long periods in very cold and very hot weather, and even in dried or cured pork products.

"The movement of pig products can spread diseases quickly and, as in this case of African Swine Fever, it's likely that the movement of such products, rather than live pigs, has caused the spread of the virus to other parts of China," explained Juan Lubroth, FAO's Chief Veterinarian.

This is just the latest example we've seen of illegal activity threatening to spread agricultural and/or zoonotic diseases.  Over the past few months we've also seen:

South Korea MAFRA Investigations into Biosecurity Lapses on HPAI Affected Poultry Farms

And the recent discovery reported in the EID Journal of a Vaccine-Like African Swine Fever Virus Strain in Domestic Pigs, Thailand, 2024 - first detected in Vietnam in 2024 - which may be the product of unauthorized experimental use, a black-market vaccine, or even a lab accident.

Of course, most of these risky endeavors likely go unreported.   

For years, we've been warned that CAFOs (Concentrated Animal Feeding Operations) would lead to the next pandemic. And while that may still happen, recent trends suggest that FAFOs (`F' Around & Find Out) may be just as risky.

Tuesday, March 31, 2026

Cambodian MOH Announces 3rd Human H5N1 Case of 2026

 

#19,102

With thanks for the head's up from @E_A_Karlsson, we have the following announcement from Cambodia's Ministry of Health on their 3rd confirmed HPAI H5N1 human infection of 2026 - and 37th in just over 3 years -  this time involving a 3 y.o. child from Oddar Meanchey Province who was confirmed positive on March 29th.

The MOH announcement, along with the translation, follows:

Kingdom of Cambodia

Nation Religion King

Ministry of Health

Press Release

On  A case of bird flu in a 3-year-old child

The Ministry of Health of the Kingdom of Cambodia would like to inform the public that there is 1 case of bird flu in a 3-year-old boy who was confirmed to be positive for the H5N1 avian influenza virus on March 29, 2026 by the National Institute of Public Health. The patient lives in Tumnup Thmey village, Beng commune, Banteay Ampil district, Oddar Meanchey province, and there have been reports of sick and dead chickens and ducks in the village. The patient has been isolated in hospital and is receiving intensive medical care. Upon investigation, it was revealed that the patient’s home has chickens and ducks, including some sick and dead chickens, which the child had played around.

The emergency response teams of the national and sub-national ministries of health have been collaborating with the teams of the provincial agriculture departments and local authorities at all levels to actively investigate the outbreak of bird flu and respond according to technical methods and protocols, find the source of transmission in both animals and humans, and search for suspected cases and contacts to prevent further transmission in the community, as well as distribute Tamiflu to close contacts and conduct health education campaigns among residents in the affected villages.

The Ministry of Health would like to remind all citizens to always pay attention to and be vigilant about bird flu because H5N1 bird flu continues to threaten the health of our citizens. We would also like to inform you that if you have a fever, cough, runny nose, or difficulty breathing and have a history of contact with sick or dead chickens or ducks within 14 days before the onset of symptoms, do not go to gatherings or crowded places and seek consultation and examination and treatment at the nearest health center or hospital immediately. Avoid delaying this, which puts you at high risk of eventual death.

How it is transmitted: H5N1 bird flu is a type of flu that is usually spread from sick birds to other birds, but it can sometimes be spread from birds to humans through close contact with sick or dead birds. Bird flu in humans is a serious illness that requires prompt hospital treatment. Although it is not easily transmitted from person to person, if it mutates, it can be contagious, just like seasonal flu.

1/2

Address: Lot No. 80, Samdech Pen Nut Street (289)

Sangkat Boeung Kak 2, Khan Toul Kork, Phnom Penh

Phone: (+855) 23 885 970

Email: info@moh.gov.kh

Website: www.moh.gov.kh

It was over 3 years ago that an older clade of H5N1 (2.3.2.1.x) reemerged in Cambodia's population after a 9 year absence, spilling over into 6 humans in 2023, 10 people in 2024, and 18 people in 2025.

Cambodia's recent cases are due to a new reassortment of an older clade of the H5N1 virus (recently renamed 2.3.2.1e) - which appears to be spreading rapidly through both wild birds and local poultry.

Unlike the newer clade 2.3.4.4b H5Nx viruses - which have shown  much lower mortality rates in the United States - this older clade has proved fatal in about 40% of the cases reported by Cambodia since 2023.

There is currently no evidence to suggest human-to-human transmission of this H5 virus, with most cases reporting recent contact with sick or dead poultry.
While we continue to focus primarily on clade 2.3.4.4b H5 viruses in the United States, these cases remind us that there are many other iterations of HPAI H5 circulating around the globe (see Viruses: Zoonotic Implications of the Co-Circulation of Clade 2.3.4.4b and 2.3.2.1a H5N1 Avian Influenza Viruses in Nepal in 2023), each on a different evolutionary trajectory.

And only one of them has to get lucky to made it a very bad day for the rest of us.

Monday, March 30, 2026

(France ANSES) Vaccinating Ducks Against Avian Influenza: Lessons Learned From the First Six Months

 

#19,101

After years of increasing agricultural losses from avian influenza, many poultry farmers are understandably anxious for permission to protect their flocks with HPAI vaccines, yet most countries have been slow to embrace that strategy.

This hesitancy is based on mixed results seen in countries where AI vaccination has been adopted, and concerns over how vaccination might affect international trade.

While we've seen some impressive success stories (see OFID: Avian H5, H7 & H9 Contamination Before & After China's Massive Poultry Vaccination Campaign), we've also seen some significant failures (see J. Virus Erad.: Ineffective Control Of LPAI H9N2 By Inactivated Poultry Vaccines - China), often due to poorly designed and/or applied vaccines.
The biggest concern is that a vaccine that is only partially effective may merely mask the symptoms of infection, but still allow the virus to spread stealthily and continue to evolve (producing vaccine-induced escape mutants).

Eleven months ago, in NPJ Vaccines: Impact of Inactivated Vaccine on Transmission and Evolution of H9N2 Avian Influenza Virus in Chickensa report warned that inactivated vaccines have failed to prevent - or even reduce - H9N2 in China's poultry, and may have driven viral evolution (including mammalian adaptations).

Which is why most countries - including the United States, Canada and the UK - have yet to authorize HPAI poultry vaccines, although many are studying the matter (see UK Defra Announces New Avian Influenza Vaccine Trials Begin in UK).

France, however, was an early adopter in Europe, and in the summer of 2023 announced their intention to begin vaccinating high risk poultry (ducks) against H5N1 that fall, after testing showed a two-dose regimen provided adequate protection.

Within months, however - after several breakthrough infections - the French MOA Ordered 3rd Vaccine Dose For High Risk Ducks.

Last December, the Journal Vaccine carried a study which looked at the effectiveness of the French vaccination campaign. 

To what extent may the duck population be protected after vaccination against highly pathogenic avian influenza? Contributions from a modelling approach and French field data

M. Salines a, M. Andraud a, A. Scoizec a, A. Schmitz b, E. Niqueux b, A. Jimenez Pellicer c, K. Bucher c, G. Gerbier c, N. Eterradossi d, B. Grasland b, S. Le Bouquin a

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2025.127905 

Earlier this month the French Agency for Food, Environmental and Occupational Health & Safety (ANSES) published their own summary and analysis; reporting that less than half of the duck population was adequately protected at any given time. 

Vaccinating ducks against avian influenza: lessons learned from the first six months
(Excerpt)

Good overall compliance with the vaccination protocol

The main takeaway of the analysis was that the vaccination protocol was widely implemented over the period in question. Between 1 October 2023 and 31 March 2024, 51 million doses were administered, covering over 95% of duck flocks. Most of them received two doses – the first when the animals were around 10 days old and the second approximately 20 days later – in accordance with the vaccination protocol in force at the time.

The data collected were fed into a model assessing how well the ducks were protected against avian influenza. “The model showed that 40 to 45% of the duck population could be considered protected by a complete vaccination scheme at a given time, which means they’d received all the doses required for optimum vaccine efficacy and that this efficacy hadn’t yet declined”, explains Morgane Salines, a scientist in ANSES's Epidemiology, Health and Welfare (EPISABE) unit and the main author of the study.

The rest of the duck flocks only had partial protection, either because their vaccination protocol was in progress or because their immunity was declining. Indeed, experimental estimates indicated that vaccine protection declined in ducks over the age of 10 weeks. “These percentages of fully or partially protected farms can ensure a certain level of protection for the duck population as a whole. Proper vaccination compliance by production sectors is essential to optimise this protection”, adds Salines.

While vaccination helped to reduce the burden of H5N1, it did not eliminate it. ANSES goes on to warn that:

Even with good vaccination results, control and surveillance efforts must be maintained

In the winters of 2023-2024 and 2024-2025, the number of avian influenza cases on farms fell sharply compared with previous years. This decrease can be attributed both to vaccination and to the reduced circulation of the virus in wild birds. 

“Currently, avian influenza is circulating more actively in wild birds than in the winter of 2024-2025”, underlines Grasland. “More than 40 instances of the virus being introduced into French farms from wild birds have been recorded since the start of the 2025-2026 season.

In addition to vaccinating ducks, it’s important to continue implementing biosecurity measures – which prevent the virus from entering farms – and monitoring the virus, to prevent it from circulating at a low level. The goal is to ensure that the virus doesn’t develop mutations that could ultimately allow it to evade vaccination-induced immunity”. 

As a reminder, avian influenza can, under certain conditions, be transmitted to humans. Reassortment between an avian influenza virus and a human influenza virus could potentially result in a virus that spreads more easily to people. To reduce this risk of co-infection with both types of viruses, the French National Authority for Health issues a recommendation each year, advising professionals in contact with birds to receive the seasonal influenza vaccine

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Last August, in Vaccine X: H5N1 Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Vaccination: Seroresponse of Mexican Poultry in the 2022–2024, we looked at the first two rounds of HPAI poultry vaccination in Mexico.

While seroconversion and seroprotection rates approached or exceeded 80% in many states, in the breakdown of the 20 states included in the first round, (33%) scored considerably lower, with 2 states in single digits. 

The authors noted:
These limitations were evident in period one, mainly across southeastern Mexican states because they did not mount an immune response after vaccination with seroconversion and seroprotection rates less than 10 % of their population.

It is likely that some of the critical points of the vaccination plan were not fully met or were not carried out properly.
And that's the rub

Done right, and vaccination can be highly beneficial. Done wrong, and you could be conducting an unintentional Gain-of-Function field experiment.  

We've discussed some of the  ongoing biosecurity measures that would be required to mount a safe and effective poultry vaccination campaign (see UK Joint Taskforce Policy Paper: Vaccination of Birds Against HPAIV (bird flu), including:

  • Most captive birds would likely require more than one vaccination over their lifetime, and regular testing that can differentiate infected from vaccinated animals (DIVA) would be needed to prevent `asymptomatic spread' of the virus.  
  • Culling and/or quarantine would still be needed for `breakthrough' infections
  • A different vaccine, schedule and testing regimen would likely be required for non-avian livestock

None of this would be cheap or easy, but - given the endemicity of the H5Nx virus - vaccination may still be our best option going forward.

But only if we take the time and effort to do it right.